WEBVTT

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There we go.

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Welcome to Understanding Space Through a Cybersecurity Lens.

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I'm Jerry Sellers.

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And a little bit about me.

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So I did 20 years in the Air Force, mainly space stuff.

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I worked space shuttle mission control back in the day.

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I worked about 14 different shuttle flights, including on console for the Challenger accident and then worked return to flight after that.

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So if you saw the movie Apollo 13, anybody, I actually worked for Gene Kranz back in the day.

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Then a bunch of other stuff in the Air Force, all space related.

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I retired from the Air Force in 2004.

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And then our small company, TSDI, we do training and workforce development and system engineering consulting kind of all over the industry.

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So I'm also adjunct at Stevens Institute of Technology and at Georgetown, do some graduate courses with them.

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And I'm an Agile guy, so I teach Agile around the industry a bit too.

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I'm here today with two other folks helping me out.

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So I'll turn first over to Terri.

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Terri, if you want to say a few words about yourself.

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Hi there.

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I am Terri Johnson and I'm the chair of the Computer Networking and Cyber Department at Pikes Peak Community College, located here in Colorado Springs.

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I started in IT over 20 years ago, really specializing in computer networking and then securing those computer networks, starting out with Deloitte and Anderson, two of the big five or whatever they're called now, tax and audit firms.

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And then I realized that I really have this love for education and have served on as both faculty and staff in K-12 and higher ed.

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Like when I have free time, I really like to spend it on beaches.

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So you're... and I'm coming to you from Colorado and actually all of us are in Colorado, so she's at a virtual beach back there.

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And then helped today too by Jason.

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Jason, say a quick word about yourself.

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Yes, I am a high school student.

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I'm interested in computer science and cybersecurity.

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I am on the robotics team and I participate in a number of local coding competitions and I'm just going to be helping out here.

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So he's getting a little experience rubbing shoulders virtually with the folks in the cyber community.

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So this is good practice for him today.

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So our company is TSTI, so we do training consulting around the industry.

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We like to say we have a front row seat to the industry.

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We get to see what kind of challenges everybody has at NASA, ESA, DOD, industry.

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We work on a lot of... support a lot of textbook development work and we... our company does on-site training back when you can do that.

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We've kind of pivoted 100% virtual training since COVID.

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We also do coaching and integrated programs and then we do other consulting, especially in model-based system engineering.

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It's a very growing area for us.

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So I saw one question in there in the chat about reasonable rockets.

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Let's hold that question.

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That's a good one to bring up when we get to the break.

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So if you've got specific questions about the material, I'll probably handle that right then.

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If it's a good question, but I think we might deserve a deeper answer, I might wait until the break.

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So if you're okay with that, that's how we'll proceed.

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So here's our overview of what we're going to try to do this afternoon.

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I'm going to start with big picture.

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We want to know the context for space.

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And that context is also the context in which cybersecurity has to occur with respect to space.

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So we'll tackle that and we'll look at this thing we call a space mission architecture and how all the puzzle pieces that have to go together to make a space mission be successful.

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We'll then look at various opportunities.

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So opportunities for people to do necessarily possibly the various things.

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And with respect to that, we'll look at orbital mechanics and mission operations.

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We'll focus on those two, if you will, threat surfaces.

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And then we'll look at specific threats having to do with natural environment in space and the man-made environment.

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And we're going to see the natural environment is pretty darn nasty.

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So it's hard enough to work in space, let alone just throw humans on there to try and do bad things.

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But we'll try to understand both of those potential threat areas.

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And then we'll end up this afternoon looking at vulnerabilities.

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And we'll look at two key vulnerabilities, one being RF links.

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So the RF systems, radio frequency systems shown there in cartoon as uplinks, downlinks.

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These are the pipes that carry the data that we use in missions.

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And then we'll talk a bit about the space data architectures that we use in ground and onboard systems.

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So here's our objective.

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Oh, sorry.

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First of all, this course is based around this textbook.

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So there's a textbook called Understanding Space.

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And it's available through that website.

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This is part of the Space Technology Series.

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I think there's roughly up to 30 books now in that series that tackle all kinds of different space subjects.

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So if you're interested in pretty much anything to do in space, there's a textbook probably for it.

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But this is the introductory book.

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And a lot of the material here, the images came out of that book.

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So if you're interested in that, you can try to get a copy of that.

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So here's our objectives for the afternoon.

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We're going to start by trying to build some core space knowledge.

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So we're basically launching you on a trajectory here, where we're going to start by, you know, laying the foundation and launch pad with our core space knowledge, what is the space mission architecture, and that kind of thing.

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And then we'll look at how we build upon that to understand the basic capabilities and trade-offs and limitations as they apply specifically to the cybersecurity domain.

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We're going to focus on orbital mechanics and the opportunities or lack thereof that that creates for getting access to space systems, and then look at the operational architectures as well and see how that can constrain access.

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As I said, we'll focus on the natural and human-made threats that can be out there, especially the natural ones, and what kind of vulnerabilities that comes out from there, as we look at things like radio frequency links and the data architecture.

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So somebody's asked for the recording.

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I think we'll be posting that recording.

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I just sent the morning recording off to the organizers.

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So they're going to put that on Discord somewhere.

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I don't know where they put that.

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But if you... did I put my email?

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Yeah, no, I didn't.

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Yeah, I put my email address.

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So if anything comes up in this course or afterwards, please feel free to reach out to me.

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If you can't find the recording or whatever, I can get it for you.

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So please feel free to track us down if you need to.

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So here's our agenda.

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We're in afternoon session, day one over there on the left.

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So we're just getting started.

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And you see the course is broken into kind of half-hour segments.

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So we'll tackle a subject for about a half an hour.

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And then I've got some poll questions that I'll ask you, just kind of see if you've been paying attention.

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And it also gives us a chance to discuss some of the topics a little deeper.

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We'll have time for a little stretch break in there.

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And also we can tackle any sort of other questions that you might come up with that are a little off-topic, but I wanted to build in some time to talk about those somewhat off-topic questions.

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We have some great questions this morning about slingshot trajectories and other stuff.

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So again, kind of any questions, spare game out here.

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So feel free to come up with stuff.

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We've got time built in to do that.

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So we'll hit each section roughly by a half hour, take a poll, have a short break, and then we'll get right back at it.

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And then you want to save up some energy for the very end, because then we're going to have a little cybersecurity challenge for all of you.

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So I'm going to present you with a scenario and you're going to have to think through what you do to respond to that potential cybersecurity scenario.

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So get ready for that.

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That's coming here at the end of the afternoon.

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So it should be pretty action-packed, hopefully a fun afternoon for you.

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So let's start with the contents.

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So I'm a big picture guy.

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I like to think about, okay, what, you know, how does this, let me show you the, you know, I can't put together the pieces of the puzzle until you show me the picture on the front of the box.

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Okay.

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So this is the picture on the front of the box of what the puzzle is going to look like.

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And that puzzle has these various key pieces that we want to look at.

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We call that, we put that whole puzzle together, we call it the space mission architecture, which includes orbits and trajectories, spacecraft, vehicles, operations, and at the core there, we have the mission itself.

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So we want to know how all those pieces go together.

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That's what we're going to start by tackling.

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And to do that, we want to first understand, well, why, because we're going to look at the mission, why do we go to space at all?

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You know, what are the reasons that we would even bother spending all this money, time, effort, risking people's lives to go to space?

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And space, it turns out, is a pretty big industry.

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I think as of last year, the latest numbers I saw, space is a $420 billion industry.

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I mean, it rivals the airline industry in terms of size.

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So it's a pretty big industry .

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So where's all this money coming from?

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Why are people even making money in space?

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Why do we go to the time and trouble to go to space?

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So we list here what we call space impurities, the unique aspects about space that make us want to go there.

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And so we have global perspective, clear view of the heavens, free fall environment, resources, and the final frontier.

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So those, those reasons, those five reasons we might go to space, which do you think is the single most important?

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The reason that we most often go to space, and the reason most people make money in space?

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Who wants to guess which of those five are the most important?

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But you just put it in the chat, or you can shout out.

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I'd say the global perspective, you can see the whole world.

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Absolutely.

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Yeah, you nailed it.

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So I live in Colorado.

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So I like to tell people, the reason we go to space is to get high.

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That's the main reason we go to space, because it's higher.

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By being higher, we can see more stuff, right?

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The more I can see, the better I can understand what's going on.

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If we could simply build a tall tower and look down, we'd probably prefer to do that.

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But we can't build a tower quite that tall.

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Although I have some colleagues trying to build a space elevator, but that's another discussion.

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But, but by being, being high, we can see more, right?

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And the more I can see, the more I can understand what's going on.

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It turns out back in the, back in the 50s, in 1957, when the Russians launched Sputnik, they actually did us a favor.

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They, they, they established the precedent, international law, that you can overfly any country from space.

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Now, you can't overfly any country in the air, you can't just get an airplane and go fly over Canada, they wouldn't like that.

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But you can overfly Canada from space.

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There, that's international law, that's an okay thing to do.

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So that, that established space is sort of open sky in terms of the ability to go over and overfly anything that's out there.

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So that was Sputnik 1.

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And then later on, they flew a couple other missions.

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And then anybody know the first animal to fly in space?

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The Russians flew the first animal in space.

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Yeah, the dog, the dog was named Laika.

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You may remember Laika?

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So Laika, Laika was a dog that flew in space.

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And of course, we didn't know much about Laika, you know, during the Soviet times.

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But after the fall of Soviet Union, information came out about Laika.

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And it turns out, Laika was not any ordinary dog.

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They scoured the entire Soviet Union to find a special dog, because they wanted to have a talking dog, because they couldn't have an air-to-ground link.

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So they, they needed a talking dog to talk to the dog.

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So Laika was a talking dog.

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And when Laika came down to land there, she was supposed to land on the land.

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But you know, the early times, her guidance wasn't that accurate.

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So she ended up landing in the, in the, in the sea.

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It was a stormy night, and a little capsule got kind of tossed around.

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And they finally got the capsule up on the beach, and they opened up the hatch, and Laika came trotting down.

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They said, Laika, how was the trip?

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And she said, rough.

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So yeah, talking dog, Laika.

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But so actually, that's a lie.

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Laika couldn't talk.

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Actually, Laika, unfortunately, burned up on re-entry, which is why the Russians say they invented the hot dog.

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So , but there we go.

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So, but I digress.

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So we get up there to be high, we get there to see what's going on.

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And that's the most important reason.

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These other reasons are cool, too.

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But in terms of making money, being high is where it's about.

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So while we're up there, we can do some cool things.

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So being high, one of the most important things we can do is provide communication.

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So Arthur Clarke came up with this idea.

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Arthur is a science fiction writer.

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He came up with this idea in the 40s.

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Actually, somebody else came up with it, but he's popular for stating it, is that if I could put a satellite that two people could see on opposite sides of the Earth, and they can both see the satellite, then we could talk through that satellite.

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So we can relay information through that satellite.

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That special orbit we can use to do that is called geostationary orbit.

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We'll talk about that here in a little while.

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And if you look at the bottom picture there, you can see out of the, this is not quite the scale, the geostationary orbit is pretty popular.

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There's roughly 400 active satellites up there in geostationary orbit, mostly doing communication.

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And they're not really stacked up like little bb's there.

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That's just showing how many are in a given slot.

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The slots are pretty big, about a one degree slot, roughly 360 degrees, if you will, around the Earth, roughly one degree slots.

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So there can be more than one satellite in a slot.

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But it's a very popular place to be.

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If you own a slot, if you have license to use a slot, that's literally money in the bank.

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So it's like owning beachfront property because they're not making any more of it.

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So very popular place to operate from in space.

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You can kind of see where the popular places are.

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You can see there's a lot kind of over in Europe, a lot over in North America, a lot over Asia, not so much over the middle of the Pacific.

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So that's where most of the money being made in space today is, is in geostationary com.

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The other big area that's not so much a moneymaker, although people do make money on GPS, but is certainly an enabler for the global economy, is navigation, and really position navigation and timing, global geospatial navigation services.

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And of course, the most most popular there is GPS, the global positioning system operated by the Air Force, now Space Force.

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And then of course, there's GLONASS, there's the Chinese Beidou system, and there's Galileo, the new European system.

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So there's more and more systems coming available, which is good, it gives us some backup.

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Because if you think about it, the entire global economy depends on this capability for position navigation and timing.

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If you were to take out that capability, the world economy would be worse shape than it is right now.

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So really bad.

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ATMs wouldn't work, wouldn't be able to use a lot of global communication.

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And of course, you know, people would get lost.

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So all this is key.

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So it's and the ability to do GPS is provided by the fact that we can put satellites in a high orbit.

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And standing on Earth, I can see at least four satellites at any one time, four times, it turns out to be the magic number I need to solve the problem.

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So I can see four satellites at once, usually, I can see more than that.

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I can get that by having those satellites up there in a very high orbit.

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So any place on Earth, you can always see at least four satellites.

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So that's simply an advantage of being up there high.

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And I'm here on Earth, I can access those satellites quite easily.

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And now I have the ability to do my navigation.

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So that high ground, again, that global perspective is being leveraged by GPS and other navigation systems.

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And of course, the other thing we can do by being up there is we can look down, we can look down and take pictures of what's happening on Earth.

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So that's our what we broadly call remote sensing kind of missions.

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And, and of course, obvious one would be something like the nightly weather report, you just had a hurricane pass off the coast of Florida.

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So you probably saw some of the images from that all came from satellites.

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We have satellites in geostationary orbit and in low Earth orbit that monitor the weather.

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And then we have all kinds of satellites that do imaging.

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Planet Labs has a whole number of satellites they do for daily imaging of the Earth.

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And you can do low resolution, high resolution.

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Of course, the military does very high resolution imagery spy satellite type things.

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We have missions like that do just environmental monitoring that will look for ozone monitoring and things like that.

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Landsat is a long term mission that has been flown now for gosh, going on 40 years, that they've been monitoring the Earth's environment for that long.

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So nice longitudinal data in terms of behavior.

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And these spy satellites all go back to the early days.

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So one of the very first, well, the first military satellite we tried to build was to do was spy satellites.

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And that was a mission called Corona, not to be confused with the beer or the virus.

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But the Corona mission was stood up by the National Reconnaissance Office at the time.

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That was his job was to go do that.

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And to give you an idea of the priority, their 13th flight was successful.

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They had 12 consecutive failures and still got funding to keep going.

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And they launched these satellites up into space.

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This is now the early 60s.

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How did they get the pictures down?

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Anybody know how they got the pictures down?

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What's that?

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I know, when they dropped like film rolls?

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Yes, they, they ejected the film rolls from the satellite, the satellite, the film rolls entered the containers, obviously, enter the atmosphere, and then they popped a parachute, and then they would snatch them out of the air.

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And then they would send them to a place called photomat.

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And you get your pictures back in a couple of weeks, right?

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That was the Instagram of the day, right?

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That's when we use this stuff called film.

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Yeah, hard to believe that they actually literally launched rolls of film, and then parachuted the rolls of film down from outer space.

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It's hard to hard to imagine.

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But that's what they did.

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It wasn't until the 70s that they went to all digital.

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So I mean, you can pretty much, you know, thank spy satellites for the digital capability, digital camera capability, you have on your cell phone today, and the ability to develop the CCDs and that sort of technology came and was pushed by remote sensing kind of missions.

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So again, why there?

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Why can we do this?

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Because we're above the earth because we're high because we can see what's going on.

19:42.900 --> 19:48.460
So let's explore that architecture now a little bit deeper now that we understand why we're going to space.

19:48.460 --> 19:53.060
And the first part of our architecture is why is the mission, right?

19:53.060 --> 19:58.200
And so in 1961, President Kennedy gave a very famous speech about going to the moon.

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I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal before this decade is out of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth.

20:10.500 --> 20:23.780
No single space project in this period will be more impressive to mankind or more important for the long range exploration of space and none will be so difficult or expensive to accomplish.

20:38.910 --> 20:44.190
So in that case, Kennedy outlined a very simple mission, right?

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At least simple in terms of articulating it, right?

20:46.630 --> 20:50.010
Land a man on the moon, turn him safely to the earth, end of the decade.

20:50.010 --> 20:52.970
Three goals and objectives right there.

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So what we want to know about any mission is, first of all, what need are we addressing?

20:57.550 --> 20:59.670
Here it was the need to, you know, beat the Russians.

21:00.090 --> 21:03.050
But then what are the goals and objectives we're trying to accomplish?

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And how do we plan to go about accomplishing that?

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We call that the concept of operations.

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So we want to know all those things to give us an idea of the why.

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Once we know the why, we can figure out the how.

21:15.250 --> 21:17.770
And the how usually starts with a spacecraft.

21:17.770 --> 21:22.210
So a spacecraft is a satellite in orbit, and we'll talk about orbits a bit later here.

21:22.210 --> 21:24.630
And that satellite's going to do a job.

21:24.630 --> 21:27.310
And that satellite, we can break into two parts.

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We call it the payload and the bus.

21:29.290 --> 21:31.730
So the payload is the part that's doing the mission.

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It's taking the pictures, it's sending the... it's relaying the HPO signal, whatever it is its mission is doing.

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And then the bus is there to support the payload.

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So just like our little cartoon in the bottom there, the button, you know, the school bus's job is to get the payload, the kids, school.

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So that payload... we got a live mic here...

21:57.820 --> 22:01.060
that payload then is getting transported by the bus.

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And so the bus has to have what?

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It has to have structure, it has to have, you know, propulsion, it has to have a radio, air conditioning, all the things to keep the payload happy.

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And that's what we're doing in any mission, right?

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We have the bus carrying the payload, the payload's doing the mission, the bus is carrying the payload.

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And we typically will often... sometimes we'll actually split up the operations with that.

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There's a DOD mission where the Army operates the payload and the Air Force, I guess now Space Force, operates the bus.

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And that's a... because it's a big mission and it's a lot to manage, so they split that between two organizations.

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And some science missions may have a dozen different payloads, and so you may have multiple payload operators for different parts of that.

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So that's kind of how we want to think about our mission.

22:51.540 --> 23:01.860
We have our mission at the center, have our spacecraft that's doing the job, and we have the payload that's actually doing the interaction, taking the pictures, the bus supporting the payload.

23:02.680 --> 23:07.680
And then we... once we're up there, the spacecraft has to operate from an orbit.

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And as we're going to see, we can think about an orbit like a big racetrack.

23:12.000 --> 23:17.660
And so once I get into that racetrack, I'm going to be going around, around the Earth all day long, and then I'm going to look down.

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And when I look down, I'm going to see some amount of the Earth.

23:21.140 --> 23:24.140
How much I see depends on how high I am, right?

23:24.140 --> 23:26.480
The higher I am, more of the Earth I can see.

23:26.940 --> 23:34.260
As I look down then, that cone that you see in that cartoon on the bottom, that cone has a field of regard.

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The field of regard is everything I potentially can see.

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And then the field of view is what I actually do see when I, say, point my camera.

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I've got an animation of that coming up a little bit later.

23:46.060 --> 23:54.120
And then that swath, you see that line across there, that tells you how much of the Earth I can see as I'm kind of going around the Earth.

23:54.120 --> 23:56.720
So that swath... think about mowing a lawn, right?

23:56.720 --> 24:06.400
I'm mowing a swath across the Earth, and depending on how high I am, and depending on some other factors of my mission, that'll tell you how wide a swath I can cut.

24:06.400 --> 24:12.000
And if I cut a wide swath, then maybe I don't need to orbit the Earth very many times to see everything.

24:12.000 --> 24:17.000
If I have a narrow swath, I may have to orbit the Earth quite a few times before I see everything.

24:17.060 --> 24:25.940
And so that's going to be a big trade-off for us in terms of access to information on the ground and access from the ground to the satellite, as we're going to see.

24:25.940 --> 24:28.920
We'll look at a thing called ground tracks and see why that's important.

24:29.720 --> 24:32.620
The other piece of the problem is getting to space.

24:32.620 --> 24:38.940
So here's our launch of the Atlas V launch of the NASA CIRUS-REx mission from a couple of years ago.

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She had a big old Atlas V rocket and liquid oxygen kerosene engines on the first stage there, RD-180 engines.

24:51.000 --> 24:55.800
And that's going to take you into orbit, into that orbit we just talked about.

24:56.060 --> 25:03.120
Rockets are broken into stages, and that's because of the just inherent limitations of the rocket technology we have today.

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In this case, their stage is not recoverable.

25:06.180 --> 25:10.420
If I'd shown you Falcon 9, it'd probably show you recovering that first stage.

25:10.660 --> 25:12.820
It's also LOX kerosene, it turns out.

25:12.820 --> 25:14.840
But that's how I'm going to get to orbit.

25:14.840 --> 25:20.480
And we're going to see how much energy that launch vehicle has to deliver for me to get into orbit.

25:20.480 --> 25:21.860
Turns out that's quite a bit.

25:22.760 --> 25:25.500
Once I'm up there, now I can start doing my mission.

25:25.500 --> 25:33.300
And the main reason I'm in space, I'm up there, I'm high, I'm looking down at the earth, I'm up there either creating data or moving data, right?

25:33.300 --> 25:40.140
So the whole name of the game in the space business is about ones and zeros going from one point to another, right?

25:40.140 --> 25:44.940
How those ones and zeros get around are on all these links that we're going to talk about.

25:44.940 --> 25:49.820
So that's that communication architecture we show there at the top.

25:49.820 --> 25:55.340
So all of mission operations is about people, processes, and things for doing the job.

25:55.340 --> 26:03.440
We've got a lot of things, a lot of infrastructure, manufacturing, launch capabilities, communication networks.

26:03.440 --> 26:08.320
And then I have all the people, the mission management and operations that are actually running the mission.

26:08.320 --> 26:11.580
So I have a classic picture down there at the bottom.

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That's the Apollo 13 mission after they successfully got the astronauts back from their harrowing experience.

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You see dozens of people there just in the front room.

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But a large mission like human spaceflight, International Space Station, literally has thousands of people around the world supporting that.

26:29.300 --> 26:34.420
Now, if I have a little CubeSat mission, maybe only have a dozen or so people supporting that.

26:34.420 --> 26:36.120
But still, you've got people, right?

26:36.120 --> 26:40.160
People, processes, and things that we need to run the mission.

26:41.140 --> 26:45.200
Then finally, we have system engineering and project management to pull it all together.

26:45.200 --> 26:49.020
So system engineering is our process of turning a need into a capability.

26:49.140 --> 26:55.480
System engineering is about balancing cost schedule performance along with risk to deliver our mission successfully.

26:55.480 --> 27:07.740
And then we have our project management to lead the team and ultimately try to deliver the program on cost, on schedule, on budget with acceptable risk.

27:07.940 --> 27:30.520
And then supporting all that, and especially as we kind of emerge into this area of cyberspace and cybersecurity for space, is we have an organization that we can call out here called Information Sharing and Analysis Center, the ISAC, started just a year or so ago to look at trying to pull together some of these threats and opportunities in cyberspace.

27:30.520 --> 27:47.340
So they work with industry and they work with government, focusing on three key areas of supply chain, safety, business systems, and overall missions to try to make sure that we're staying, keep the community aware of what the cybersecurity issues could be.

27:47.580 --> 27:49.900
So there's our big picture context.

27:49.900 --> 27:59.080
I wanted to understand why we go to space for that global perspective, what kinds of missions we do up there, especially communication, remote sensing, and navigation.

27:59.360 --> 28:11.420
I want you to understand what we mean by that space mission architecture that includes the mission itself, the spacecraft, the orbit, the launch vehicle, mission operation systems as well.

28:11.520 --> 28:20.600
So from a cybersecurity standpoint, what we'd like you to take away here is an understanding and appreciation for how important space is to the global economy.

28:20.600 --> 28:29.300
Not only is it a big industry just by itself, and nearly half a billion, half a trillion dollars, but it's integral to pretty much everything.

28:29.300 --> 28:44.160
So from cell phones, to power grids, to GPS, to commercial transportation, and simply knowing where you are in commercial and financial markets, we depend, we the world, depend on space.

28:44.160 --> 28:51.840
And of course, the more you depend on something, the more vulnerable it can potentially be, and that's the vulnerability we want you to be aware of.

28:51.840 --> 28:57.180
And because of that, space is becoming a larger attack vector that we have to focus on.

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And then finally, just be aware of the space ISAC and what that collaborative groups like that can help do for us.

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All right.

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There was a good question about reusable rockets I want to get to in here in a second.

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But any specific questions about what we just covered in terms of big picture?

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See, we ended up with a pretty healthy crowd.

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So that's great.

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Any questions that came out from what we covered?

29:28.760 --> 29:31.300
Yeah, I think I have a question.

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So I am French, so I have a French accent.

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So I hope you will, you will be able to understand me.

29:38.040 --> 29:40.460
I have to go on another.

29:40.460 --> 29:42.420
So it was really interesting.

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And thank you so much.

29:43.760 --> 29:47.120
And I have to go on another talk.

29:47.200 --> 29:49.580
But can I have your email address?

29:49.580 --> 29:53.260
Because I would like to ask you some questions, but I need to leave now.

29:53.580 --> 29:56.880
So is it possible that you write it in the chat, maybe?

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Yeah, it was in the slides that I just put there too.

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I didn't.

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Okay, well, that's really nice.

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Thank you so much.

30:04.080 --> 30:08.080
And I will need to leave Zoom really soon.

30:08.080 --> 30:10.540
Well, we'll be doing it again tomorrow and Sunday morning.

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So if you want to drop back.

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At what time?

30:14.260 --> 30:15.220
Tomorrow.

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Tomorrow's at nine and at 1.30.

30:20.480 --> 30:21.200
Okay.

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And then another one on Sunday at 9am.

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Yep.

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Okay.

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Is it written on the DEFCON schedule website with Aerospace Village?

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I'm not sure.

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I didn't see it.

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It should be.

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Matt should be able to answer that.

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And if you check in the Discord, there's an Understanding Space Discord channel.

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Okay.

30:48.520 --> 30:49.540
That's great.

30:49.540 --> 30:50.700
Thank you.

30:50.980 --> 30:51.820
You bet.

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Any other specific questions from what we covered?

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All right.

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I'm going to give you the poll.

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So let's launch the poll there.

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So take a couple of minutes to answer the poll.

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And we will start back up in about 10 minutes.

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So this gives you a chance to answer the poll.

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And then we'll cover the poll.

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And then we'll pick right back up there.

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And we're going to hit Opportunities.

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So buckle up.

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We're going to talk about Orbital Mechanics when we get back.

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So go ahead and take the poll.

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Take a stretch break if you need it.

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And then we'll dive into Orbital Mechanics in a minute.

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And do your best with the poll questions.

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And then if there's any other questions you have from what we've covered so far, or if there's something you want to make sure I do cover, please put that in the chat.

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All right.

33:54.870 --> 33:58.770
I'm getting pretty good participation in the chat there or in the poll.

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Give everybody another minute or two.

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And then we'll go through the poll and see if we have any other questions.

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And then we'll pick up from there.

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All right.

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Let's see how we did in the poll here and share the results.

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So... all right.

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So single most important reason we go to space is to get high, right?

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Ultimate high ground, to get that global perspective.

34:59.840 --> 35:02.020
It's more than just getting above the atmosphere.

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In fact, we'll see we don't always even get above the atmosphere completely.

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It's about getting up there so we can see more stuff.

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That's the single most important reason.

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And it's not to experience zero G.

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So we'll talk about that word.

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We don't like to use that word.

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So the part of the spacecraft that does the business, basically does the mission, we call that the payload, the thing that takes the pictures or collects science or whatever.

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And then mission operations systems is all the ground and space-based infrastructure we need to coordinate.

35:37.320 --> 35:40.220
We call that the glue that holds the mission together.

35:40.220 --> 35:43.900
So that's broadly, we call that mission operations systems.

35:44.420 --> 35:46.980
Space capabilities, yep, definitely true.

35:46.980 --> 35:49.060
It becomes so integral to everything we do.

35:49.060 --> 35:51.860
It's hard to imagine life without space.

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We've become, if anything, too dependent on it.

35:55.320 --> 36:02.780
And then ISAC focuses on those key areas there, supply chain, business systems, and missions.

36:02.820 --> 36:04.220
So good stuff.

36:06.140 --> 36:10.400
Any questions before we dive a bit into orbital mechanics?

36:12.160 --> 36:13.100
Right.

36:13.100 --> 36:20.060
So when we're done here, the goal is to make you all a genuine bonafide certified orbital mechanics.

36:20.300 --> 36:26.060
So, and I can tell you where to buy the toolkit, but you'll be an orbital mechanic.

36:26.060 --> 36:28.780
You'll be certified to fix people's orbits.

36:28.780 --> 36:30.040
You'll be all ready to go.

36:30.040 --> 36:33.500
So that's what we're doing in this section is really focused on opportunities.

36:33.500 --> 36:39.600
So where are the opportunities to actually do things to space systems?

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And some of those are quite limited as we'll see, based on things like orbital mechanics.

36:43.960 --> 36:50.900
Some of them are quite open because we have a pretty wide attack space potentially in the area of mission operations.

36:50.900 --> 36:57.800
So we're going to look at orbits and operations as two opportunity areas that we have to focus on.

36:58.460 --> 37:06.500
So, as I said a little bit ago, that when we look at orbits, the first order you can imagine an orbit is like a big racetrack.

37:06.500 --> 37:09.840
So think of this racetrack going around the earth, round and round all day.

37:09.840 --> 37:15.300
I've got the Hubble Space Telescope in that racetrack, and it's just going around and around all day long.

37:15.340 --> 37:19.460
In the U.S., we have a kind of a popular sport called NASCAR.

37:19.900 --> 37:25.420
And the joke is, you know, how do you escape if a NASCAR person is chasing you?

37:25.420 --> 37:27.720
And the answer is turn right.

37:27.880 --> 37:33.440
Because in NASCAR, they just turn left all day long, going around, around, around, around the track.

37:33.520 --> 37:35.600
And that's pretty much what a satellite does.

37:35.600 --> 37:39.080
It just goes around, around, around, around the track all day long.

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In low earth orbit, that takes it about 90 minutes to go once around the earth.

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So it's roughly 15 times a day.

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It's going to go around, around the earth.

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And that's what it does.

37:48.640 --> 37:49.880
And that's what we want it to do.

37:49.880 --> 37:51.120
We want it to be predictable.

37:51.120 --> 37:53.840
We want it to be in the same orbit all the time.

37:54.100 --> 37:58.240
And those are things that they're going to help us understand how to do our mission operations.

37:58.400 --> 38:00.660
So we're trying to get into that racetrack.

38:00.660 --> 38:02.500
Well, how do we get into that racetrack?

38:02.500 --> 38:06.580
Well, to get into that racetrack, we have to remember there's this thing called gravity.

38:06.800 --> 38:11.060
And so if you drop something, it goes down and you forget how gravity works.

38:11.120 --> 38:12.560
Just remember the earth sucks.

38:12.560 --> 38:13.940
It just pulls it down.

38:14.140 --> 38:17.100
So if I drop a baseball, it's going to fall.

38:17.380 --> 38:21.620
So in my cartoon in the upper right, I now have two baseball players.

38:21.980 --> 38:28.120
I have one who's going to drop a ball and I have one who's going to throw a ball from the same height at the same time.

38:29.020 --> 38:33.340
So if I drop a ball and I throw a ball, which one should hit first?

38:33.480 --> 38:36.160
Well, way back in the day, there was a guy named Aristotle.

38:36.240 --> 38:40.300
He thought that if you had a heavy ball and a light ball, that the heavy ball would fall faster.

38:40.300 --> 38:44.220
And it wasn't until Galileo came along and said, hey, let's try it.

38:44.220 --> 38:48.900
And he figured out, well, wait a minute, heavy ball, light ball, everything falls at the same rate.

38:48.920 --> 38:52.340
So it turns out gravity doesn't care about the motion of the ball.

38:52.340 --> 38:54.760
You can throw it, you can spin it, you can do whatever you want to it.

38:54.820 --> 39:01.600
It's still going to fall at the same rate, which at the surface of the earth is about 9.8 meters per second squared.

39:01.840 --> 39:08.600
So if you don't believe me, I've got a little video here that shows this simultaneous dropping and throwing.

39:08.600 --> 39:13.580
So I'm going to drop a ball here and throw a ball at the same time.

39:16.800 --> 39:23.120
And you can see there in slow motion, they're hitting at the same time.

39:26.530 --> 39:33.070
If anybody likes the Mythbusters, remember the Mythbusters, they did one where they shot a bullet and they dropped a bullet.

39:33.070 --> 39:36.450
So the bullet went like 300 feet and then hit the ground.

39:36.530 --> 39:44.110
And they showed the same thing, whether you drop it or even with a bullet, right, it's still going to fall at the same rate as when you drop.

39:44.190 --> 39:45.830
Okay, so what does that mean?

39:45.830 --> 39:49.830
Okay, so now we get a little thought experiment here to understand orbits.

39:49.850 --> 39:51.650
So picture the earth, right?

39:51.650 --> 39:53.550
Imagine the earth is a perfect sphere.

39:54.390 --> 40:03.190
If the earth were a perfect sphere, then for every eight kilometers you go horizontally, the earth curves away five meters.

40:03.190 --> 40:05.370
So we're going to do a little thought experiment here.

40:05.370 --> 40:09.250
We're going to build a tower on the earth that's five meters tall.

40:09.250 --> 40:14.590
And on that tower, we're going to put a diving board that's eight kilometers long.

40:14.590 --> 40:26.550
So if I walk all the way up to the edge of that eight kilometers and look down, the earth is going to be 10 meters below me because I started out five, I went out eight kilometers, the earth curved away five meters.

40:26.550 --> 40:32.530
The surface here could be 10 meters below the edge of the diving board.

40:32.530 --> 40:35.310
Okay, well now, imagine I was going to throw a baseball.

40:35.870 --> 40:36.970
So I'm going to go back to my tower.

40:36.970 --> 40:38.170
I'm going to throw a baseball.

40:38.170 --> 40:40.130
I'm going to throw it really fast.

40:40.130 --> 40:43.330
I'm going to throw it eight kilometers per second.

40:43.470 --> 40:47.230
So that means it's going to reach the edge of the diving board in a second.

40:47.370 --> 40:49.570
Well, how far will it fall in a second?

40:49.570 --> 40:53.810
Well, it turns out the distance you fall is one half AT squared.

40:53.990 --> 40:56.110
So A is 9.81.

40:56.110 --> 40:57.930
So we'll just call that 10.

40:57.930 --> 40:59.310
And half of 10 is 5.

40:59.310 --> 41:03.230
So basically in one second, you're going to fall five meters.

41:03.230 --> 41:05.610
So you started out five meters above the surface.

41:05.610 --> 41:08.050
You went out eight kilometers in a second.

41:08.050 --> 41:13.310
You fell five meters and you are still five meters above the surface.

41:13.830 --> 41:16.670
Well, what's going to happen the next second?

41:16.790 --> 41:19.230
Well, you're going to go another eight kilometers.

41:19.590 --> 41:22.010
You're going to fall another five meters.

41:22.010 --> 41:24.830
The earth is going to curve away another five meters.

41:24.830 --> 41:27.590
You're still going to be five meters above the surface.

41:27.590 --> 41:29.650
You are in a circular orbit.

41:30.190 --> 41:32.570
What did it take to get into a circular orbit?

41:32.570 --> 41:35.410
You had to go eight kilometers per second horizontal.

41:36.010 --> 41:40.150
Is this a condition of free of zero gravity?

41:40.370 --> 41:42.310
No, you're falling.

41:42.310 --> 41:44.470
The earth is pulling you down.

41:44.470 --> 41:51.090
You are just going so fast forward that the earth is curving away as fast as you go forward.

41:51.090 --> 41:53.410
So you keep missing the earth, right?

41:53.410 --> 41:57.450
You're falling, but you keep missing the earth because the earth keeps curving away from you.

41:57.450 --> 41:59.610
That's what allows you to be in a circular orbit.

41:59.610 --> 42:02.970
It's about that horizontal velocity.

42:02.970 --> 42:08.030
So sometimes people talk about centrifugal force stuff.

42:08.030 --> 42:13.130
If anybody tells you about centrifugal force with respect to orbits, just that's not right.

42:13.130 --> 42:15.950
There's no such thing as a centrifugal force, it turns out.

42:15.990 --> 42:17.810
It's all about the speed.

42:17.810 --> 42:21.930
It's about going fast and so fast you keep missing the earth.

42:21.930 --> 42:23.570
If you don't believe me, check Newton.

42:23.570 --> 42:28.410
If you go into Newton's, you can see Newton's sketch pad back when he was in his 20s.

42:28.410 --> 42:33.170
He drew little cannonballs being launched from cannons and showed how you would get into orbit, right?

42:33.170 --> 42:37.310
And there was no centrifugal force concept going on there.

42:37.310 --> 42:40.550
It's just about the velocity and this concept of gravity.

42:41.730 --> 42:46.790
So depending then on how hard I throw the ball, I'm going to get into a different orbit.

42:46.790 --> 42:53.370
So at any given altitude, there's only one specific velocity that'll give me exactly a circular orbit.

42:53.370 --> 42:59.010
If I throw it a little faster than that circular orbital velocity, then I'll be in an elliptical orbit.

42:59.010 --> 43:05.930
If I throw it slower, then I'll become an intercontinental ballistic baseball and I'll take out Rio down there.

43:06.750 --> 43:11.550
The shape of this trajectory is actually also an ellipse.

43:11.550 --> 43:17.810
Now they might've told you in high school physics when you throw basketballs or baseballs or something that those are parabolic.

43:17.810 --> 43:19.810
They're not, it's an ellipse.

43:20.650 --> 43:23.470
So this is an ellipse that happens to intersect the earth.

43:23.470 --> 43:32.670
If I do in fact throw the ball really, really fast, then I can enter my own independent orbit around the sun that's different.

43:32.670 --> 43:39.710
I'm no longer tied to the earth and I'm in my own independent orbit around the sun, different than the earth, but I don't really go anywhere.

43:42.150 --> 43:44.370
And I used to say, we don't do that.

43:44.370 --> 43:46.090
And then we started doing that.

43:46.250 --> 43:50.070
And as we call that earth trailing orbits now.

43:51.110 --> 43:52.550
Solar observation.

43:53.770 --> 43:57.950
If I want to go somewhere, I got to throw the ball even faster.

43:58.110 --> 44:05.770
So it goes out to the edge of the earth's gravitational sphere of influence and actually has excess velocity to go somewhere.

44:05.770 --> 44:08.670
We call that hyperbolic excess velocity.

44:08.690 --> 44:20.050
So when NASA launched the Perseverance rover to Mars last week, it not only had to escape the earth, they had to escape the earth with extra velocity that would allow it to go all the way to Mars.

44:20.050 --> 44:23.470
So it left earth on a hyperbolic trajectory.

44:23.470 --> 44:27.810
It then entered an elliptical trajectory around the sun.

44:27.810 --> 44:31.810
And then it's going to encounter Mars again on a hyperbolic trajectory.

44:31.810 --> 44:34.170
And they'll have to fire rockets to inter-orbit.

44:34.270 --> 44:37.170
Well, actually, with rover, they're going to directly enter.

44:37.170 --> 44:38.470
They got a big heat shield.

44:38.470 --> 44:40.650
So they're going to just slam right in the atmosphere.

44:40.730 --> 44:42.430
That's how they'll bleed off all that energy.

44:42.430 --> 44:47.710
And then they'll land on Mars using their complicated sky crane thing they have worked out.

44:47.710 --> 44:50.470
So no matter what I do, there's only four options.

44:50.470 --> 44:52.550
Circle, ellipse, hyperbola, parabola.

44:52.610 --> 44:58.030
And in reality, you can never get a perfect circle and you can never get a perfect parabola.

44:58.030 --> 45:03.630
So the only things we'll see is in reality are ellipses and hyperbolas.

45:03.630 --> 45:07.750
And for our business of orbiting around the earth, everything is an ellipse.

45:07.750 --> 45:16.390
Now, a lot of orbits are close enough that we call them circular, but realize to go out enough decimal places, they're not exactly circular.

45:16.390 --> 45:18.490
So those are our orbit options.

45:18.530 --> 45:20.130
Any questions on that so far?

45:20.130 --> 45:21.610
What it takes to get into orbit?

45:25.550 --> 45:32.730
Are there like orders of magnitude in terms of how much power you need to get out there?

45:32.730 --> 45:36.490
Does it like increase significantly or is it all fairly linear?

45:37.150 --> 45:38.670
That's a really interesting question.

45:38.670 --> 45:43.630
So let me let me tackle that here in a second, because that's an interesting way to think about it.

45:44.550 --> 45:48.670
So when I'm getting up into orbit, so first of all, I got to launch the ball, right?

45:48.670 --> 45:50.650
So I got to get that ball going fast.

45:50.650 --> 45:54.770
So if I don't get it going quite fast enough, it's going to smash into the earth.

45:54.770 --> 45:58.130
If I have it going just fast enough, it enters a circular orbit.

45:58.130 --> 46:01.970
If I go a little faster, it's going to enter an elliptical orbit.

46:02.410 --> 46:10.190
So as I said, right around the earth, you know, low earth orbit, a couple hundred kilometers up, we're looking at going about eight kilometers per second.

46:10.410 --> 46:19.110
But when I talked about that racetrack, the bigger the racetrack, the more energy, and we're talking about mechanical energy here.

46:19.110 --> 46:21.410
The bigger the racetrack, the more energy.

46:21.430 --> 46:26.170
So if I want to go higher, I'm gonna have to throw the baseball harder, right?

46:26.390 --> 46:29.830
So in low earth orbit, I'm going about eight kilometers per second.

46:29.830 --> 46:39.050
But as I go out to higher orbit, let's say all the way to geostationary orbit, which is 36,000 kilometers away, I'm now only going about three kilometers per second.

46:39.250 --> 46:40.690
Okay, well, where'd the energy go?

46:40.690 --> 46:43.010
Well, this is, it's all potential now, right?

46:43.010 --> 46:50.330
I don't have the same kinetic energy, I have more potential energy, because it costs me energy to get out there.

46:50.330 --> 46:53.110
I have to spend energy to get higher, right?

46:53.110 --> 46:55.670
And I climb out of that gravity well.

46:56.510 --> 47:11.210
But so that my, so I need to get out to geostationary orbit from low earth orbit, costs you about four kilometers per second, extra delta V, to go from low earth orbit all the way to geostationary.

47:11.210 --> 47:15.530
Turns out that's about the same amount as it takes to go to the moon.

47:16.150 --> 47:20.230
To go from low earth orbit to the moon is pi kilometers per second.

47:20.230 --> 47:23.230
So it's 3.14 kilometers per second, give or take.

47:23.610 --> 47:26.790
And then to get into lunar orbit is about another 800 meters per second.

47:26.790 --> 47:32.290
So it's about four kilometers per second to go from low earth orbit to the moon, about the same as geo.

47:32.290 --> 47:35.250
And going to Mars is only about five and a half.

47:35.310 --> 47:37.570
So it's not exponential.

47:37.690 --> 47:39.630
And it's not really linear either.

47:39.630 --> 47:47.730
But one of my favorite science fiction writers, Robert Heinlein once said, low earth orbit is halfway to everywhere.

47:48.210 --> 47:52.030
If you, it costs you about eight kilometers per second to get into low earth orbit.

47:52.030 --> 47:58.790
If you have another eight kilometers per second available, you can go anywhere in the solar system eventually, right?

47:58.790 --> 48:03.030
It might take you nine years to get to Pluto, but you'll get there, right?

48:03.030 --> 48:06.110
And so it's all about the gravity, you know.

48:06.110 --> 48:15.890
So, you know, if you live, you know, there's certain parts of the country and parts of the world, when you ask people how far something is, they tell you in time, not in distance, right?

48:15.890 --> 48:17.550
So it's all about how you think about it.

48:17.550 --> 48:20.470
So in space, the distance is not so important.

48:20.470 --> 48:22.030
It's about the energy, right?

48:22.030 --> 48:26.630
And we'll use that delta V as our kind of coin of the realm there.

48:26.790 --> 48:29.990
So that delta V then is, you know, depends on the orbit.

48:29.990 --> 48:33.170
And so the low earth orbit is about eight kilometers per second.

48:33.170 --> 48:37.010
As I said, if you go higher, this number goes down.

48:37.010 --> 48:39.030
About three kilometers per second.

48:40.130 --> 48:42.590
So it's all about trading the energy, though.

48:42.590 --> 48:46.130
This is the conservation of mechanical energy.

48:46.130 --> 48:48.950
So just like being on a swing, right?

48:48.950 --> 48:51.090
So when you're going low, you're fast.

48:51.090 --> 48:52.750
And when you're going high, you're slow.

48:52.830 --> 48:58.790
So I'm trading kinetic energy for potential energy here, right?

48:58.790 --> 49:03.110
So at the high point of the orbit, which we call apogee, I'm going slowest.

49:03.110 --> 49:06.450
At the low point, we call perigee, I'm going fastest.

49:06.450 --> 49:09.070
But my total energy is the same.

49:09.390 --> 49:10.710
Energy is conserved.

49:10.710 --> 49:15.790
Energy is a conservative field, which means whatever energy you start with, you end up with.

49:15.790 --> 49:23.810
Which is nice, because that means if I tell you the energy of the orbit, of the satellite at any one spot, I know it at every spot.

49:23.810 --> 49:28.370
So I don't have to continuously track stuff in orbit.

49:28.370 --> 49:31.890
I really probably couldn't do that, even though I wanted to in a lot of cases.

49:31.890 --> 49:35.910
Which is good news, because that means I only have to track it for a little bit.

49:35.910 --> 49:40.070
And if I know that energy, it's going to be the same all the time.

49:40.070 --> 49:42.250
So that's a big advantage for that.

49:42.710 --> 49:46.690
The other thing that's conserved in my orbit is angular momentum.

49:46.690 --> 49:48.770
So angular momentum is a vector quantity.

49:48.770 --> 49:56.210
So if you wrap your right hand around the direction of the orbit, it'll tell you the angular momentum vector.

49:56.410 --> 49:58.850
So you can see that in this animation.

49:59.730 --> 50:03.730
What that means is that orbit plane is fixed in space.

50:03.730 --> 50:09.830
The Earth is rotating underneath me, but that plane is fixed with respect to the stars.

50:09.930 --> 50:16.310
So you see that angular momentum vector, that big arrow pointing out there, that's orthogonal to that orbit plane.

50:16.790 --> 50:21.750
But the plane itself is fixed in space, and the Earth is rotating underneath me.

50:21.750 --> 50:23.890
That's a key thing to try to visualize.

50:24.650 --> 50:31.310
It's hard to imagine something being fixed in space, but that is because of angular conservation of angular momentum.

50:31.310 --> 50:35.870
And that's important in terms of what I can see when I'm going around.

50:35.870 --> 50:38.070
So as I'm going around, this is animation.

50:38.070 --> 50:40.450
This is not an artist's conception.

50:40.450 --> 50:48.550
This is using a simulation tool called System Toolkit by a company called Analytical Graphics.

50:48.550 --> 50:51.390
We're an educational partner, so that's my advertising for those guys.

50:51.390 --> 50:53.150
But they make a neat tool.

50:53.150 --> 50:58.050
And that tool helps us understand the behavior here.

50:58.050 --> 51:03.270
The circles you see represent different things that I can look at.

51:03.270 --> 51:09.670
So that big circle, that outer circle, represents everything I can see out to the true horizon.

51:10.030 --> 51:12.850
And this satellite is in a 700-kilometer orbit.

51:12.850 --> 51:19.530
The littler circle represents a field of regard for what we call an elevation angle of about 60 degrees.

51:19.530 --> 51:24.290
That big circle is an elevation angle of zero degrees, basically looking along the horizon.

51:24.290 --> 51:27.250
As I go up to about 60 degrees, I get this circle.

51:27.250 --> 51:32.270
And then when I look down with my camera, you see that little itty-bitty soda straw.

51:32.670 --> 51:37.170
That's what I can actually image with my high-resolution camera.

51:37.170 --> 51:42.330
Typically, these high-resolution imagers only have about a degree or so field of view.

51:42.350 --> 51:46.610
That means it's going to take me a long time to image the whole Earth.

51:46.710 --> 51:53.450
So that swath then is telling me how much of the Earth I'm covering on a given pass.

51:53.450 --> 51:58.430
And it's also going to tell me when I can see the satellite, when the satellite can see me.

51:58.430 --> 52:02.410
These are the opportunities I have to interact with that satellite.

52:02.790 --> 52:06.910
So as that satellite's going over, imagine that we're tracing a line on the Earth, right?

52:06.910 --> 52:09.410
So we're going to call this the ground track.

52:09.410 --> 52:15.570
So as I'm going around the Earth, the yellow there is the equatorial plane, just for reference.

52:15.870 --> 52:31.050
So as I'm going around the Earth, notice that the satellite stays in its plane, and the Earth is rotating underneath that plane, which means I'm basically doing like a spiral cut, if you will, of the Earth as I'm going around.

52:31.530 --> 52:42.550
And so if I'm on the ground and I want to see that satellite, I have to wait for it to pass over me, or think about another way, me to rotate underneath its orbit plane, right?

52:42.550 --> 52:44.190
Depends on how you want to think about it.

52:44.190 --> 52:45.910
And that creates our ground track.

52:45.910 --> 52:51.250
So we have a static map, because it's hard to move a map, so we just have a map.

52:51.250 --> 52:53.610
And we have our guy standing down there in South America.

52:53.610 --> 53:03.110
So when the satellite crosses the equator on its first orbit, let's say, the person could look over and see the satellite to his east.

53:03.290 --> 53:07.190
Now imagine it's a low Earth orbit satellite, has a period of about 90 minutes.

53:07.190 --> 53:12.070
Now the Earth is going to rotate 22.5 degrees in 90 minutes, 15 degrees an hour.

53:12.070 --> 53:20.090
That means the next time the satellite passes the equator, from the person's standpoint, the satellite will now be to his west, okay?

53:20.090 --> 53:22.390
So the satellite stayed in the same plane.

53:22.390 --> 53:25.590
The Earth rotated underneath the orbit plane, right?

53:25.590 --> 53:32.450
So and probably the next orbit on the third orbit, it'll be beyond the horizon, and you won't even be able to see it, right?

53:32.450 --> 53:44.370
So this is telling us when I can access that satellite to, you know, have it take pictures of me, have me talk to it, or if I was trying to do something to it, when I could even have that opportunity.

53:45.150 --> 53:49.090
So then different orbits will have different ground tracks.

53:49.090 --> 53:51.870
There's things that we can adjust on the orbit.

53:51.870 --> 53:53.610
We call their orbital elements.

53:53.850 --> 53:56.610
And one of those is the size of the orbit.

53:56.610 --> 54:01.730
And the bigger the orbit, the longer the period, the longer it takes to go once around the orbit.

54:01.730 --> 54:04.870
So here you see different orbits, A, B, C, D, E.

54:04.970 --> 54:07.770
And notice A has a period of 2.7 hours.

54:07.770 --> 54:09.710
B is a period of 8 hours.

54:09.710 --> 54:11.710
C is a period of 18 hours.

54:11.730 --> 54:14.730
And E is a period of about 24 hours.

54:15.230 --> 54:16.910
Notice what's happening to the ground track.

54:16.910 --> 54:19.490
The ground track is getting scrunched together.

54:19.490 --> 54:21.210
That's our technical term, scrunched.

54:21.210 --> 54:27.390
We're getting scrunched together until I get to orbit D, which ends up being a figure eight.

54:27.610 --> 54:30.610
So orbit D, the period is about 24 hours.

54:30.610 --> 54:34.190
So we say it is synchronized with the Earth's rotation.

54:34.190 --> 54:36.450
In other words, it is geosynchronous.

54:37.010 --> 54:38.120
Now, A, B, C, D...

54:38.670 --> 54:41.630
A, B, C, and D have the same inclination.

54:41.630 --> 54:46.510
So inclination is the angle of the orbit with respect to the equator, if you want to think of it that way.

54:46.510 --> 54:50.630
If I was orbiting around the equator, we'd say we have an inclination of zero.

54:50.630 --> 54:54.670
If I was orbiting around the poles, we'd say you have an inclination of 90.

54:55.470 --> 54:59.690
And in the case of A, B, C, and D, they all have an inclination of 50.

54:59.750 --> 55:05.350
And I can tell that by looking at the highest point, the highest latitude that it reaches.

55:05.350 --> 55:07.070
You see over here the high latitude.

55:07.190 --> 55:09.310
I'm glad it was 50 north, 50 south.

55:09.330 --> 55:12.130
So that's telling me the inclination is about 50 degrees.

55:13.110 --> 55:15.350
And then look what happens to orbit E.

55:15.350 --> 55:19.890
Now I slink the inclination, so it now is going around the equator.

55:20.090 --> 55:25.890
And so now the ground track for orbit E is a dot on the equator.

55:25.890 --> 55:29.370
So it is now stationary with respect to that spot.

55:29.370 --> 55:31.830
So we call it geostationary.

55:31.830 --> 55:32.610
It is orbiting.

55:32.610 --> 55:37.610
It's going three kilometers per second, but it's orbiting at the same rate that the Earth rotates.

55:37.610 --> 55:42.690
So that gives me that perception of it being always over the same spot.

55:42.690 --> 55:49.430
It's orbiting exactly the same rate at which the Earth is rotating, which is why it seems to hover over that same spot.

55:49.430 --> 55:51.010
But it's going three kilometers per second.

55:51.010 --> 55:53.010
It's not hovering by any means.

55:53.190 --> 55:58.770
So those different ground tracks give me different opportunities to access the different orbits.

55:58.810 --> 56:00.010
So here's an example.

56:00.010 --> 56:02.410
This is the actual International Space Station.

56:02.670 --> 56:05.890
You can see it going around in orbit, its ground track.

56:06.110 --> 56:10.030
And so you can see the trace it makes on the globe and then the ground track.

56:10.030 --> 56:12.530
So it has an inclination of 51.6 degrees.

56:13.210 --> 56:16.530
That's because they had to launch pieces of it out of Russia.

56:16.970 --> 56:22.850
And the lowest inclination Russia could reach was 51.6 because they launched from Baikonur in Kazakhstan.

56:23.930 --> 56:28.570
Would have been easier for us if it had been launched everything from Florida, but that's another story.

56:28.870 --> 56:30.650
So that's our ground track.

56:30.650 --> 56:32.390
This is the International Space Station.

56:33.490 --> 56:34.310
This is what...

56:34.310 --> 56:35.130
Oh, go ahead.

56:35.130 --> 56:36.490
Can I ask a question about that?

56:36.490 --> 56:41.250
So is it because you're closer to the equator, you get more spin from the Earth?

56:41.250 --> 56:42.670
Is that why Florida is better?

56:42.690 --> 56:47.150
Well, yes, that's a short answer.

56:47.590 --> 56:56.910
So when we were launching everything from the shuttle, if we were to launch due east from Florida, we get maximum effect of the Earth's rotation.

56:56.910 --> 57:05.750
But because we had to launch from Florida into 51 degrees, which means we had to go somewhat northeast, we lost capability.

57:06.370 --> 57:15.250
And they ended up having to completely redesign the external tank of the shuttle to remove 8,000 pounds of weight so that they could get the stuff into orbit.

57:15.250 --> 57:19.310
It's quite a heroic tale we could go into offline.

57:19.310 --> 57:20.570
But it all came...

57:21.090 --> 57:22.270
It's amazing.

57:22.270 --> 57:26.590
So politics drove orbital mechanics, which drove technology.

57:26.590 --> 57:27.990
It was pretty amazing.

57:27.990 --> 57:30.350
But that's the way the world works sometimes.

57:30.630 --> 57:32.430
But yeah, great question.

57:33.690 --> 57:36.370
So here's our geostationary satellites.

57:36.370 --> 57:40.010
So what you'll notice here, a couple of things.

57:40.010 --> 57:43.650
One geostationary satellite cannot see the entire Earth.

57:44.090 --> 57:50.230
In fact, to cover the entire equator, you need three satellites, and then you get overlapping coverage.

57:50.330 --> 57:55.930
But a geostationary satellite can only see up to about 70 or 80 degrees latitude.

57:56.190 --> 58:03.230
So you end up with this triangle on the North Pole and the South Pole that a satellite from GEO cannot see.

58:03.230 --> 58:08.890
Or said another way, if I'm on the North Pole, I can't talk to a satellite in geostationary orbit.

58:08.890 --> 58:16.710
So if you have a direct TV dish, and you're planning to move into the North Pole to visit Santa Claus, don't take your TV dish with you.

58:16.710 --> 58:20.310
I don't know what Santa Claus does, but you cannot get direct TV.

58:20.730 --> 58:27.510
So for the most part, we don't care, because there's not that many... nobody lives up there anyway.

58:27.510 --> 58:31.390
However, there are military missions that do care.

58:31.390 --> 58:39.450
And then we all use a different orbit called ammonia orbit or highly elliptical orbit that can cover those high latitude regions.

58:39.610 --> 58:42.150
But I didn't include an example of that.

58:42.150 --> 58:43.890
But if you want to talk about that, we can.

58:45.550 --> 58:47.350
So quick overview then.

58:47.350 --> 58:48.390
This is orbital mechanics.

58:48.390 --> 58:52.910
There's how we calculate some of those things.

58:52.910 --> 58:58.910
I had to put in a second order nonlinear vector differential equation just to see if anybody was paying attention.

58:59.170 --> 59:02.950
But a little bit here of how we solve that equation.

59:02.950 --> 59:05.550
We can talk about in more detail if you want in the break.

59:06.510 --> 59:10.390
But I want to get to operations and then we'll pull up our poll.

59:10.390 --> 59:17.090
So remember, we have these things called mission operation systems, which are all the people, processes, and things need to do missions.

59:17.090 --> 59:23.110
So we have manufacturing, launch, and things like our mission control center, which you're used to seeing on TV.

59:23.530 --> 59:30.970
And then we have our communication architectures, which are all those links that move the data around.

59:30.970 --> 59:33.670
I said space is all about moving the data.

59:33.670 --> 59:37.650
So I have ground stations and control centers and I have relay satellites.

59:37.650 --> 59:40.370
All that's happening to help me move the data.

59:40.390 --> 59:42.830
And I have various methods of doing that.

59:42.830 --> 59:46.630
So there are various networks for helping move that data.

59:46.630 --> 59:53.630
So on the top, we see the Air Force Satellite Control Network, which I guess could now be called the Space Force Satellite Control Network.

59:53.630 --> 59:55.130
I'll never be able to say that.

59:55.590 --> 01:00:00.010
And it has sites all around the world they use for talking to satellites.

01:00:00.010 --> 01:00:05.370
They talk to, what, about 450 different satellites a day, if I recall.

01:00:06.150 --> 01:00:07.750
That's the Air Force network.

01:00:07.750 --> 01:00:09.010
There's a Navy network.

01:00:09.010 --> 01:00:09.970
There's an Army network.

01:00:09.970 --> 01:00:11.630
There are commercial networks.

01:00:11.630 --> 01:00:14.110
There's a commercial network called Universal Space Network.

01:00:14.110 --> 01:00:19.790
And they have sites all over the world that you can rent, basically, by the minute to talk to your satellite.

01:00:20.210 --> 01:00:23.310
Then NASA has a deep space network you see there on the bottom.

01:00:23.950 --> 01:00:27.530
They have three sites in California, Madrid, and Australia.

01:00:27.530 --> 01:00:36.730
And then NASA has something called the Tracking Data Relay Satellite Systems, which are satellites in geostationary orbit that are used to talk to satellites in low-Earth orbit.

01:00:36.730 --> 01:00:42.470
So if you see video coming from the International Space Station, it's probably coming through TDRS.

01:00:42.470 --> 01:00:44.350
So that's how they relay data.

01:00:44.350 --> 01:00:47.730
So all of that represents really critical infrastructure.

01:00:47.930 --> 01:00:50.070
Without those, you can't run your mission.

01:00:50.070 --> 01:00:55.350
You got to have those to talk to your satellite and your satellite to talk to you.

01:00:55.350 --> 01:00:58.250
So those are important parts of the problem here.

01:00:58.250 --> 01:01:02.230
And then we have various operational activities we have to accomplish.

01:01:02.230 --> 01:01:05.370
So there's nine different activities shown in this cartoon.

01:01:05.530 --> 01:01:08.950
The one you're probably most used to thinking about is flight control.

01:01:08.950 --> 01:01:14.750
You see upper right there, you see people sitting at a console, you know, with a headset on, you know, managing the mission.

01:01:15.030 --> 01:01:17.470
But that's really just the tip of the iceberg, right?

01:01:17.470 --> 01:01:19.450
You have people doing planning.

01:01:19.450 --> 01:01:21.230
You have people moving the data.

01:01:21.230 --> 01:01:27.750
You have people doing tracking, maintenance and support, spacecraft support, mission data archiving, all that, right?

01:01:27.750 --> 01:01:32.570
All of these are things that happen to make operations effective.

01:01:32.730 --> 01:01:36.310
And a key part of that is that mission data delivery and data processing, right?

01:01:36.310 --> 01:01:38.950
Because it's all about moving the ones and zeros.

01:01:38.950 --> 01:01:41.610
And these are expensive ones and zeros, right?

01:01:41.610 --> 01:01:46.770
If I'm collecting data on what's happening on Mars, that's cost me a lot of money to get that data.

01:01:46.770 --> 01:01:48.290
So I want to get that data.

01:01:48.290 --> 01:01:52.970
So I have to have the data generators in space and then have the data analyzers on the ground.

01:01:52.970 --> 01:01:57.650
And we need to make sure we have the tools in place to do that.

01:01:58.090 --> 01:02:03.530
And we have a lot of trade-offs to make in terms of what we do in operations planning.

01:02:03.530 --> 01:02:08.150
On one hand, we'd love satellites to just take care of themselves, be 100% autonomous.

01:02:08.190 --> 01:02:11.870
On the other hand, we maybe have invested a billion dollars in that satellite.

01:02:11.870 --> 01:02:17.990
We don't really want it to just go wandering around the solar system on its own, you know, without supervision.

01:02:17.990 --> 01:02:23.910
So there's a trade between spacecraft autonomy and how many people we have on the ground.

01:02:23.930 --> 01:02:25.750
And people on the ground are expensive.

01:02:25.750 --> 01:02:31.850
For every person you have sitting in a seat on a console, you probably had to hire five people.

01:02:32.050 --> 01:02:38.970
Because by the time you, you know, have three shifts a day and then people take vacations and they need training, you know, it adds up.

01:02:38.970 --> 01:02:44.310
So for long-term missions, more than half your mission cost can be in operations.

01:02:44.570 --> 01:02:45.750
Was there a question?

01:02:49.920 --> 01:02:50.800
Okay.

01:02:51.260 --> 01:02:53.380
And then, of course, anomaly response, right?

01:02:53.380 --> 01:03:01.500
So if I have a CubeSat that I built, you know, a university built and it has a problem, you know, I can get around to fixing it next week and nobody's going to care that much.

01:03:01.520 --> 01:03:07.760
But if GPS has a problem, I probably need to fix it right now because we've got, you know, the whole world to pay on.

01:03:07.760 --> 01:03:18.920
So that and, you know, understanding the state of health and understanding the new hardware and software that I'm flying are all parts of the trade-offs I have to do in mission operations.

01:03:19.600 --> 01:03:27.280
So here are the key tasks again, just as a review of what we have to do in mission operations, there's nine key tasks and the trade-offs that go with that.

01:03:27.340 --> 01:03:31.300
And then these are the takeaways from a cybersecurity lens.

01:03:31.300 --> 01:03:34.420
First of all, you know, getting to space is hard, right?

01:03:34.420 --> 01:03:36.720
Eight kilometers per second, not easy.

01:03:36.940 --> 01:03:46.540
Orbital mechanics inherently limits some of the things we can and can't do for space operations and when you can even get an opportunity to talk to the satellite.

01:03:46.720 --> 01:03:50.400
And finally, there's a lot of things going on in mission operations.

01:03:50.400 --> 01:03:53.740
And that creates a fairly large attack surface.

01:03:54.080 --> 01:04:00.900
You know, again, people, processes, and things that I can get into often spread all over the world that I have to be concerned about.

01:04:00.900 --> 01:04:07.600
So all of these are important things for us to consider from a cybersecurity and cyberspace lens.

01:04:08.340 --> 01:04:12.560
I had a question here, does translation introduce significant orbital effects?

01:04:12.560 --> 01:04:14.580
What do you mean by translation?

01:04:16.780 --> 01:04:19.460
IRPIN, I don't know how you say your name there.

01:04:22.020 --> 01:04:25.140
Can you clarify what you mean by translation in your question?

01:04:31.020 --> 01:04:33.760
I'll have to come back to that again.

01:04:33.760 --> 01:04:37.780
So it's in the chat, you say, does translation introduce significant orbital effects?

01:04:37.780 --> 01:04:39.360
I don't really do that.

01:04:39.360 --> 01:04:40.600
Oh, no, you're still there.

01:04:40.780 --> 01:04:44.120
IRPIN, if you can, sorry, the Earth's moving around the sun.

01:04:46.980 --> 01:04:56.520
No, the Earth is, you know, if I'm in orbit around the sun, the fact the Earth is moving around the sun does not create any orbital effects on the orbit itself.

01:04:56.520 --> 01:05:02.020
Now, the sun can have an impact, gravitational impact on my spacecraft.

01:05:02.020 --> 01:05:04.700
We call that a gravitational perturbation.

01:05:04.760 --> 01:05:06.020
The moon as well.

01:05:06.020 --> 01:05:17.620
So if you see out of geostationary orbit, we have these sun-moon effects that actually impact the spacecraft's ability to stay within the box that's been assigned.

01:05:17.620 --> 01:05:29.160
And so you have to spend a little bit of energy every year to stay within your box, because if you just leave it alone, the sun and the moon will start to move you outside the box.

01:05:29.160 --> 01:05:30.900
And we don't want to be outside the box.

01:05:30.900 --> 01:05:32.880
We spend a little energy to do that.

01:05:35.260 --> 01:05:37.340
So Matt asked about CubeSat.

01:05:37.340 --> 01:05:46.420
So CubeSat was a standard that was invented about 20 years ago by some folks out at Stanford and Cal Poly.

01:05:47.080 --> 01:05:50.300
And these guys, and they're still in business today.

01:05:50.300 --> 01:05:51.620
I know the guys.

01:05:51.620 --> 01:05:58.480
They just decided one day that they were going to define a CubeSat to be 10 by 10 by 10 centimeters.

01:05:58.480 --> 01:06:02.560
They just said, okay, 10 is a nice round number in centimeters.

01:06:02.920 --> 01:06:05.060
And so that became a CubeSat standard.

01:06:05.060 --> 01:06:09.020
Of course, that's a 1U CubeSat, 10 by 10 by 10.

01:06:09.020 --> 01:06:12.360
And you can make 2U, 3U, 9U.

01:06:12.360 --> 01:06:16.300
People are doing 26U, at which point you become stupid.

01:06:16.580 --> 01:06:26.340
But the nice thing is what happened, it became kind of a self-licking ice cream cone in that this became a standard size satellite for a tiny little satellite.

01:06:26.340 --> 01:06:28.900
And people then created abilities to launch those.

01:06:28.900 --> 01:06:37.440
And so now if you want to launch a satellite, there are a number of companies that will launch CubeSats for you as long as you follow the CubeSat standard.

01:06:37.440 --> 01:06:42.440
And it's usually 1, 2, or 3U is the most common that you see.

01:06:42.440 --> 01:06:47.480
And if you stick to that standard, then folks like NanoRacks can get you launched in six months.

01:06:47.480 --> 01:06:50.500
And the cost is getting down to the point that it's...

01:06:50.500 --> 01:06:53.880
that literally high schools are launching their own satellites.

01:06:54.580 --> 01:07:03.080
So it's... and that... it makes, of course, now we have this massive proliferation of small satellites, which creates other problems that we'll talk about.

01:07:03.080 --> 01:07:11.280
It's really lowered the barrier to entry for a lot of organizations and countries and even schools to build their own satellites.

01:07:11.280 --> 01:07:15.500
And that's obviously a good and a bad thing, depending on who you ask.

01:07:15.820 --> 01:07:18.160
Did that answer your question, Matt, on that?

01:07:18.160 --> 01:07:19.480
Yeah, yeah, it did.

01:07:19.480 --> 01:07:21.300
How much... you said it was getting cheap.

01:07:21.300 --> 01:07:23.200
How much does it cost to actually launch one?

01:07:23.900 --> 01:07:28.180
Launch, I think last time I checked for about a 1U.

01:07:28.360 --> 01:07:32.100
And, you know, there's a lot of it depends when it comes to the price tag.

01:07:32.100 --> 01:07:36.540
It was in the $50,000 to $100,000 range, I want to say.

01:07:37.920 --> 01:07:48.060
And the CubeSat itself, you want to build one that will actually work for, you know, more than a day, you're going to end up spending $100,000, probably anyway.

01:07:48.580 --> 01:07:55.560
So, yeah, a couple hundred K, you can get a reasonable CubeSat with a payload that actually can do something.

01:07:56.660 --> 01:08:02.620
Which, you know, from millions to hundreds of thousands is pretty good.

01:08:03.040 --> 01:08:06.220
And you can, from somebody, you might be able to do it cheap.

01:08:06.220 --> 01:08:08.480
That's if you actually wanted to do something.

01:08:08.480 --> 01:08:12.100
If you just want to build a toy, you can go cheaper than that.

01:08:12.100 --> 01:08:15.780
But people are usually going to go to the trouble, they kind of want it to work.

01:08:17.120 --> 01:08:18.960
That was cool, thank you, that was perfect.

01:08:19.520 --> 01:08:22.440
All right, let's pull up the poll here.

01:08:25.670 --> 01:08:27.050
Let me launch the poll.

01:08:27.050 --> 01:08:32.190
While I launch the poll, if anybody has any other questions, I guess that's some good ones there.

01:08:34.810 --> 01:08:42.210
So go ahead and answer the poll and then we'll, if you don't have any other questions, we'll start up in about five minutes.

01:08:42.210 --> 01:08:44.970
So take the poll, take a stretch.

01:08:45.350 --> 01:08:49.590
And then when we come back, we're going to focus on threats.

01:08:49.590 --> 01:08:54.970
So we'll look at the natural environment and the human environment in terms of threats.

01:08:54.970 --> 01:08:59.510
So if you thought you wanted to be an astronaut, be ready to be disappointed.

01:08:59.830 --> 01:09:00.730
Any questions?

01:09:00.730 --> 01:09:01.790
Is there a question?

01:09:06.680 --> 01:09:11.420
All right, so we'll start up again in a minute or two.

01:10:58.100 --> 01:11:02.780
All right, getting there with all the poll answers.

01:11:02.780 --> 01:11:07.740
I'll just give you another minute or so and then we'll review that and then start into our next topic.

01:11:38.350 --> 01:11:40.350
All right, let's see where we ended up.

01:11:40.350 --> 01:11:46.310
All right , so how fast you need to be going?

01:11:46.530 --> 01:11:48.610
Eight kilometers per second.

01:11:48.610 --> 01:11:51.150
Not 8,000 kilometers per second, that'd be pretty dang fast.

01:11:51.350 --> 01:11:53.210
Not the speed of light for sure.

01:11:54.010 --> 01:11:58.410
The speed of light is how fast you'd have to be going to go into orbit around a black hole.

01:11:59.030 --> 01:12:03.670
But to orbit the Earth, you only need to go on eight kilometers per second.

01:12:05.610 --> 01:12:09.710
Can you see any ALEO satellite from any spot on Earth at any time?

01:12:09.710 --> 01:12:11.430
No, no, you can't.

01:12:11.430 --> 01:12:18.510
So again, the key there was low Earth orbit satellite because low is pretty low, as we're going to see.

01:12:19.150 --> 01:12:25.870
And so you can only see it certain times of the day, maybe only a couple of times a day, depending on where you are.

01:12:27.150 --> 01:12:30.250
A geostationary satellite definitely cannot see every spot on Earth.

01:12:30.250 --> 01:12:35.850
You can only see about a third or so of the Earth at any given time, not even quite a third.

01:12:36.310 --> 01:12:41.410
So that means we need multiple geosatellites to provide full coverage.

01:12:42.090 --> 01:12:49.650
So if a bad guy wants an opportunity to covertly contact your satellite, they're going to have to wait until that satellite passes over them.

01:12:49.650 --> 01:12:56.490
Now they could bounce something through another ground station anywhere.

01:12:56.930 --> 01:13:01.750
But if I'm trying to do it directly, I have to wait for it to pass overhead.

01:13:01.910 --> 01:13:05.510
And then opportunities to threaten space ops, all of the above.

01:13:05.510 --> 01:13:06.350
Everybody got that.

01:13:06.350 --> 01:13:11.170
So pretty big threat surface there that we have to concern ourselves with.

01:13:12.050 --> 01:13:13.350
So good stuff.

01:13:13.630 --> 01:13:14.490
All right.

01:13:17.710 --> 01:13:20.370
So who wants to be an astronaut here?

01:13:25.120 --> 01:13:26.840
Who wants to be an astronaut?

01:13:29.640 --> 01:13:32.500
What if I could just... you didn't have to go through all the training.

01:13:32.500 --> 01:13:34.140
I would just get you into space.

01:13:34.180 --> 01:13:35.460
Yeah, sounds great.

01:13:37.240 --> 01:13:38.440
All right.

01:13:39.280 --> 01:13:44.060
Well, after we go through this section, let's see if that's still the case.

01:13:44.060 --> 01:13:49.320
All right, so here we're going to look at threats.

01:13:49.320 --> 01:13:51.840
We're going to look at natural threats and man-made threats.

01:13:52.060 --> 01:13:55.320
As we're going to see, the natural threats are bad enough.

01:13:55.400 --> 01:13:59.880
And we don't need to give me human threats because we've got enough to deal with, it turns out.

01:14:00.000 --> 01:14:02.720
So we want to look at both kinds, though.

01:14:03.140 --> 01:14:12.680
And the natural threats especially are important because about a quarter of all anomalies in spacecraft experience are a direct result of the natural environment.

01:14:12.680 --> 01:14:20.220
So you can read all the different things that have happened over the years to different satellites because of the natural environment.

01:14:21.540 --> 01:14:25.560
There was a radiation storm that affected the STEREO satellites.

01:14:26.360 --> 01:14:32.920
There was a coronal mass ejection that impacted the Dawn satellite when it was orbiting Ceres.

01:14:33.780 --> 01:14:42.240
The Galaxy 15 one is interesting because, again, this was having to do with electrostatic discharge because of a solar flare.

01:14:42.260 --> 01:14:44.620
And that satellite lost its mind.

01:14:45.080 --> 01:14:49.680
It was wandering around geostationary orbit out of control.

01:14:49.680 --> 01:14:54.320
Some people on the ground could not send it any commands, but it was broadcasting.

01:14:54.320 --> 01:14:56.720
It was on and it was broadcasting.

01:14:56.720 --> 01:15:01.080
So it was interfering both physically and RF to other satellites.

01:15:01.080 --> 01:15:05.620
Other satellites had to actually get out of the way of it.

01:15:06.400 --> 01:15:17.600
And then eventually, it kind of accidentally pointed away from the sun and the battery discharged and it did kind of a control-alt-delete and reset itself.

01:15:17.600 --> 01:15:18.920
And then it was fine.

01:15:18.920 --> 01:15:21.900
So that was a crazy one.

01:15:22.000 --> 01:15:28.660
And then this animation in the top here, you see an impact of this is a collision between two satellites.

01:15:28.660 --> 01:15:31.080
One is a dead satellite, one is a live satellite.

01:15:31.300 --> 01:15:33.860
And that caused a whole bunch of debris.

01:15:33.860 --> 01:15:38.860
So these are all just issues that come up because of the space environment.

01:15:39.680 --> 01:15:43.160
Because space is dangerous, and you got a lot to worry about up there.

01:16:15.410 --> 01:16:17.470
So no beans on the space station.

01:16:17.470 --> 01:16:18.470
Just keep that in mind.

01:16:18.470 --> 01:16:20.490
Don't fart in a space suit.

01:16:20.950 --> 01:16:22.810
But so where's space?

01:16:22.810 --> 01:16:25.210
It turns out space is not very far away.

01:16:25.490 --> 01:16:29.190
So about 100 kilometers, 60 miles straight up, if you could drive straight up.

01:16:29.730 --> 01:16:37.090
There's something called the carbon line that kind of defines, you know, a generally accepted beginning of space.

01:16:37.090 --> 01:16:41.950
But there really is no internationally defined exactly where space begins.

01:16:42.310 --> 01:16:47.070
In fact, if you're only at 100 kilometers, you couldn't stay in orbit because there's just too much drag.

01:16:47.210 --> 01:16:53.290
I need to be at least another 20 miles further before you can even have a hope of staying in orbit very long.

01:16:53.290 --> 01:16:55.390
And really, you want to be even higher than that.

01:16:56.020 --> 01:17:05.130
So if any of you bought your tickets to ride on Virgin Galactic, I guess it's going to be early next year now, 200,000 bucks, you're going to get a ride to space.

01:17:05.190 --> 01:17:08.090
And they're going to define space as 100 kilometers.

01:17:08.090 --> 01:17:12.030
So you're not going to go into orbit, you're going to go up and come down.

01:17:12.190 --> 01:17:15.950
But hey, 200,000 bucks, you know, trillionaires, there you go.

01:17:15.950 --> 01:17:17.490
So space isn't that far away.

01:17:17.490 --> 01:17:24.330
So if you imagine the Earth were the size of a peach, the International Space Station is just above the fuzz.

01:17:24.330 --> 01:17:26.810
So the fuzz represents the atmosphere.

01:17:26.810 --> 01:17:28.150
It's just a little fuzz.

01:17:28.290 --> 01:17:29.670
And we're not that high up.

01:17:29.670 --> 01:17:31.270
I mean, we're like right there.

01:17:31.270 --> 01:17:35.270
In fact, it's not even a scale in that picture because it's too hard to draw it that close.

01:17:35.710 --> 01:17:37.350
Really, really, really close.

01:17:38.850 --> 01:17:40.270
That's to get to space.

01:17:40.270 --> 01:17:43.070
Now, once I get in space, space is really, really, really big.

01:17:43.070 --> 01:17:49.650
You know, so to try to put those distances in perspective, we tried to put some things to scale here.

01:17:49.650 --> 01:17:56.410
So imagine the sun were the size of a house, then the Earth is the size of a baseball.

01:17:56.410 --> 01:18:03.010
So roughly what, about 8 centimeters or so in diameter, 10 centimeters in diameter.

01:18:03.350 --> 01:18:07.810
But it's 1.2 kilometers away or, you know, three-fourths of a mile away.

01:18:07.810 --> 01:18:09.710
That's how far away we are from the sun.

01:18:09.710 --> 01:18:13.890
And the moon is the size of a large marble, about an inch in diameter.

01:18:13.890 --> 01:18:17.050
And it's 10 feet away or three meters away.

01:18:17.050 --> 01:18:23.490
And this is the one I have trouble wrapping my head around because, you know, you look at the moon at night, it seems closer than that.

01:18:23.490 --> 01:18:25.470
It seems bigger than that.

01:18:25.470 --> 01:18:30.430
But it's really just optical illusion and how our brain processes stuff.

01:18:30.470 --> 01:18:38.310
So the moon, you know, get a baseball and a marble out sometime and pace off the distance and you'll just, you won't believe it, but it's true.

01:18:38.350 --> 01:18:42.230
I've re-ran the numbers many times and that's how it works out.

01:18:42.970 --> 01:18:47.890
And then you go to Pluto and Pluto is, you know, 20, almost 30 miles away.

01:18:47.890 --> 01:18:51.850
And again, about the size of a marble, 30 miles away from the sun.

01:18:51.850 --> 01:18:58.750
So, you know, the size of the solar system is a little hard for us to grasp really.

01:18:58.750 --> 01:19:01.430
So huge distances involved here.

01:19:02.010 --> 01:19:07.330
But once I get out to those distances, once I'm out there in space, there's a lot of nasty stuff I have to worry about.

01:19:07.330 --> 01:19:09.850
So there's six main things that we worry about.

01:19:09.850 --> 01:19:18.290
Gravitational environment, the atmosphere or lack thereof and being in a vacuum, the debris environment, and then radiation and charged particles.

01:19:18.290 --> 01:19:20.950
So I'm not going to say much about the gravitational environment.

01:19:20.950 --> 01:19:25.610
That tends to be a bigger issue for fluid handling and especially for humans.

01:19:25.950 --> 01:19:31.250
But we're going to focus on the things that are the biggest threats to spacecraft, which are all the other things.

01:19:32.070 --> 01:19:36.190
So let's start with atmosphere, drag, and atomic oxygen.

01:19:36.190 --> 01:19:42.230
In low Earth orbit, there's still a little bit of drag, and there's still a little bit of atmosphere that's going to slow me down.

01:19:43.590 --> 01:19:46.330
The atmosphere basically is like friction.

01:19:46.770 --> 01:19:50.250
When I'm starting a spacecraft, it's going to rob energy from my orbit.

01:19:50.250 --> 01:19:53.570
Remember I said the bigger the orbit, the more energy.

01:19:53.790 --> 01:19:56.690
So if I take energy out of the orbit, the orbit gets smaller.

01:19:56.910 --> 01:19:58.150
We're getting smaller.

01:19:58.150 --> 01:20:01.690
Eventually it gets so small that I re-enter the atmosphere completely.

01:20:02.090 --> 01:20:05.830
That atmosphere decreases exponentially with altitude.

01:20:05.830 --> 01:20:12.230
Come visit us here in Colorado and get off the plane, and you'll know immediately that the atmosphere has decreased a bit from sea level.

01:20:12.570 --> 01:20:15.070
The atmosphere doesn't go completely away ever.

01:20:15.070 --> 01:20:18.610
Well, not ever, but it goes up to...

01:20:18.610 --> 01:20:26.470
NASA detected molecules of the atmosphere up to about out by the moon, but those are like molecules they detected.

01:20:27.190 --> 01:20:33.250
So in terms of low Earth orbit, we use 600 kilometers as kind of a rough rule of thumb.

01:20:33.250 --> 01:20:41.550
In other words, if we're below about 600 kilometers, then atmosphere drag is something we probably have to worry about.

01:20:41.570 --> 01:20:45.290
If we're above 600, then probably it's nothing we need to worry about.

01:20:45.390 --> 01:20:48.150
But again, it's not hard and fast, it's just roughly.

01:20:48.450 --> 01:20:55.450
Because when I look at that drag equation there on the left, the drag that I get from a satellite depends on a number of things.

01:20:55.450 --> 01:21:04.350
One of the things it depends on is the velocity, how fast I'm going, the drag coefficient, basically the shape, and then the cross-sectional area of the spacecraft.

01:21:04.350 --> 01:21:06.010
So I know most of those things.

01:21:06.010 --> 01:21:12.290
What I don't know very well is the density, because that density of the atmosphere changes day and night.

01:21:12.290 --> 01:21:19.030
It changes with season, it changes with latitude, and it changes based on what mood the sun happens to be in.

01:21:19.130 --> 01:21:26.950
And the sun goes through these 11-year cycles of moods, at least as long as we've been watching it, which isn't that long, really.

01:21:26.950 --> 01:21:30.210
But so far, it's 11 years as far as we can tell.

01:21:30.210 --> 01:21:34.110
And we're actually just coming off the latest solar minimum.

01:21:34.110 --> 01:21:39.930
So the sun is always putting out these charged particles I'm going to talk about, and we call the solar wind.

01:21:39.930 --> 01:21:42.850
So these charged particles are always coming out from the sun.

01:21:43.150 --> 01:21:46.450
And think of that as a constant breeze coming from the sun.

01:21:46.450 --> 01:21:50.730
But the sun is going to get more active, less active over this 11-year cycle.

01:21:50.730 --> 01:21:58.230
Right now, we're just coming off the solar min, about ready to start back into the next high part of the cycle.

01:21:59.010 --> 01:22:04.330
When the sun is not very active, the atmosphere contracts, which means there's less drag.

01:22:04.330 --> 01:22:08.650
When the sun is fairly active, the atmosphere expands, which means there's more drag.

01:22:08.650 --> 01:22:11.590
So we've been going through a period of relatively low drag.

01:22:11.590 --> 01:22:16.870
We're starting our period of relatively high drag over the next six to eight years.

01:22:17.770 --> 01:22:27.590
In addition, when UV light hits oxygen molecules in the upper atmosphere, they break apart into atomic oxygen.

01:22:27.590 --> 01:22:32.370
Individual atoms of oxygen, which are very reactive.

01:22:32.450 --> 01:22:35.070
Oxygen by itself, as you know, is very reactive.

01:22:35.070 --> 01:22:36.790
That's why things rust.

01:22:36.950 --> 01:22:42.730
But when I have atomic oxygen, it's even more reactive, and that can cause damage to the surface of your satellite.

01:22:42.790 --> 01:22:45.230
So these are issues of simply the atmosphere.

01:22:45.350 --> 01:22:48.530
Again, generally issues below about 600 kilometers.

01:22:48.530 --> 01:22:50.770
The International Space Station is at 400 kilometers.

01:22:50.770 --> 01:22:52.950
So yeah, it has to worry about this stuff.

01:22:52.950 --> 01:23:01.030
If we didn't do anything to the International Space Station, at solar maximum, the International Space Station would re-enter in about three months.

01:23:01.410 --> 01:23:05.290
At solar minimum, which is where we've been, it'll re-enter in a couple of years.

01:23:05.330 --> 01:23:09.910
But it's a big difference between maximum and minimum in terms of how that impacts drag.

01:23:10.830 --> 01:23:12.770
But for the most part, space sucks.

01:23:12.770 --> 01:23:13.710
We're in a vacuum.

01:23:13.710 --> 01:23:16.370
Because we're in a vacuum, we have other things to worry about.

01:23:16.410 --> 01:23:18.650
One of the things we have to worry about is called outgassing.

01:23:18.650 --> 01:23:23.950
So if you have a soda bottle, you shake up the soda bottle and open up the top, you're going to hear the fizz.

01:23:23.950 --> 01:23:24.770
Well, what's happening?

01:23:25.330 --> 01:23:28.650
You're releasing pressure and the gas is escaping.

01:23:28.650 --> 01:23:33.710
So the dissolved gas in the liquid is escaping because of the released pressure.

01:23:33.710 --> 01:23:36.550
Same thing can happen in space with materials.

01:23:36.550 --> 01:23:47.810
So if I have polymers or adhesives or anything like that, they tend to, during manufacturing, they'll have alcohols and other volatiles that'll get stored in there.

01:23:47.810 --> 01:23:50.210
When I release the pressure, those things will come off.

01:23:50.210 --> 01:23:52.630
We call that outgassing.

01:23:54.090 --> 01:24:00.910
And in space, there's one really important law that governs everything we do, and that's called Murphy's Law.

01:24:01.190 --> 01:24:03.050
If you're from England, it's called Sod's Law.

01:24:03.050 --> 01:24:04.170
Don't ask me why they're different.

01:24:04.170 --> 01:24:08.490
But the laws are different, the guy's different, the law's the same.

01:24:08.490 --> 01:24:13.710
And Murphy's or Sod's Law says that anything that can happen will happen at the worst possible time.

01:24:13.710 --> 01:24:23.850
And the corollary to that in space for outgassing is that outgassing will go wherever you don't want it to go, which is probably on the surface of your mirror or sensor or things like that.

01:24:23.850 --> 01:24:29.730
We also worry about offgassing inside where the crew lives, because the crew has to smell everything.

01:24:29.730 --> 01:24:33.750
You know, if you ever bought a new car, then a car smells like a new car.

01:24:33.750 --> 01:24:35.230
Well, what's new car smell?

01:24:35.230 --> 01:24:37.810
It's outgassing plastic, right?

01:24:37.810 --> 01:24:41.050
Now in your car, you simply roll down the window and you don't have to smell it anymore.

01:24:41.050 --> 01:24:46.530
But if I'm at the International Space Station and I have a smell like that, I can't roll down the window, right?

01:24:46.530 --> 01:24:48.270
There's not, that's not going to work for me.

01:24:48.290 --> 01:24:51.310
So that becomes a hazard for astronauts.

01:24:51.310 --> 01:24:56.850
They want to make sure they don't have anything smelly like that, meaning they'll off-gas plastics or things like that.

01:24:56.910 --> 01:24:58.970
We can also get cold welding in a vacuum.

01:24:58.970 --> 01:25:05.790
This is where two pieces of metal can literally get fused together because we get a weak molecular bond between the two pieces.

01:25:06.070 --> 01:25:18.950
We can get tin whiskers that can form on tin solder, which is why we like to have a bit of lead in the solder so we don't do that in space because that crystallization can cause a failure of solder joints.

01:25:18.950 --> 01:25:24.790
And probably the most problematic thing for being in a vacuum in space has to do with heat transfer.

01:25:24.810 --> 01:25:28.610
There are three ways to move heat, convection, conduction, radiation.

01:25:30.370 --> 01:25:35.330
Convection is what's keeping you cool here in your room, air blowing around you.

01:25:35.830 --> 01:25:39.770
Conduction, you feel when you stir your coffee with a metal spoon.

01:25:39.770 --> 01:25:43.970
And then radiation is what you feel when you actually feel the heat coming off a fire.

01:25:43.970 --> 01:25:47.050
Well, in a vacuum, I can't conduct anything.

01:25:47.050 --> 01:25:49.530
I don't have any air blowing around me.

01:25:50.070 --> 01:25:56.190
So the only way heat's getting in and the only way heat's getting out of my satellite is through radiation.

01:25:56.430 --> 01:26:03.270
So you see on the right there, the bottom right, you see the radiator panels on the International Space Station.

01:26:03.270 --> 01:26:04.990
So they use ammonia loops.

01:26:04.990 --> 01:26:13.650
So the ammonia flows around where the astronauts live, carries the heat, goes through those panels where it is radiated into space.

01:26:13.650 --> 01:26:18.870
And then it cools off the ammonia, and then the ammonia does another trip back through where the astronauts live.

01:26:18.870 --> 01:26:28.930
So we do testing in space using these chambers you see at the top, a thermal vacuum chamber, to make sure we know how things will behave, spacecraft will behave when we get up there into space.

01:26:29.410 --> 01:26:34.970
So that thing on the front of your car that cools your engine, what's that called?

01:26:38.310 --> 01:26:41.870
What do you call that thing in the front of your engine that cools your engine?

01:26:42.950 --> 01:26:43.690
Radiator.

01:26:43.810 --> 01:26:44.690
Radiator.

01:26:44.690 --> 01:26:46.650
How does it cool your engine?

01:26:49.290 --> 01:26:50.750
Heat transfer.

01:26:50.930 --> 01:26:55.510
Yeah, convective heat transfer, not radiative heat transfer.

01:26:55.510 --> 01:26:57.750
That thing should be called a convector.

01:26:57.750 --> 01:27:02.790
I'm on a campaign to change its name, because I'm tired of people calling it a radiator .

01:27:02.790 --> 01:27:04.430
It's a convector, right?

01:27:04.430 --> 01:27:09.870
You're pumping fluid around the engine block, and then air blows over the vanes and cools the fluid.

01:27:09.870 --> 01:27:11.350
That is not radiation.

01:27:11.350 --> 01:27:13.110
That is convection, my friend.

01:27:13.550 --> 01:27:18.830
By the next time you go by, make sure you buy the convector fluid, not the radiator fluid.

01:27:18.830 --> 01:27:21.870
It's a little more expensive, but it's more precise.

01:27:21.990 --> 01:27:25.870
Anyway, so that's an issue with being in a vacuum.

01:27:26.110 --> 01:27:29.050
Another issue being in space is all the junk.

01:27:29.090 --> 01:27:31.410
So here's the history of the junk.

01:29:21.780 --> 01:29:25.220
It's important to note that each of those little blobs are not to scale.

01:29:26.580 --> 01:29:30.440
So we're up to 20,000 objects.

01:29:30.460 --> 01:29:33.040
In space that we're currently tracking.

01:29:33.040 --> 01:29:35.120
So this is the box score.

01:29:35.120 --> 01:29:38.520
This comes out quarterly, so this is the last one that came out.

01:29:38.520 --> 01:29:40.840
So we're just over 20,000 objects.

01:29:41.960 --> 01:29:43.800
Nancy, that's from AGI.

01:29:43.800 --> 01:29:45.500
I think I got that off of YouTube.

01:29:45.760 --> 01:29:47.020
You could Google it.

01:29:47.380 --> 01:29:49.140
They may even have a newer one.

01:29:49.160 --> 01:29:52.600
They put a new one out every once in a while, because you notice that one's about four years old.

01:29:54.440 --> 01:29:59.360
But 20,000 objects that are 10 centimeters or bigger.

01:29:59.360 --> 01:30:02.080
So think softball size or bigger.

01:30:02.700 --> 01:30:05.480
And that's a limit of what we're able to track.

01:30:05.480 --> 01:30:07.900
So we have tracking capabilities on the ground.

01:30:07.900 --> 01:30:08.480
So the U.S.

01:30:08.480 --> 01:30:10.960
Space Force is now in charge of keeping track of that.

01:30:10.960 --> 01:30:18.880
We have a satellite space surveillance network of satellite of ground systems that track that radar systems.

01:30:19.260 --> 01:30:27.440
And currently the limit is about 10 centimeters in low Earth orbit and about beach ball size out of geostationary orbit.

01:30:27.440 --> 01:30:30.480
That capability is about ready to change.

01:30:30.480 --> 01:30:37.340
The Space Force is about ready to bring operational a thing called the space fence, which means they'll be able to track things smaller.

01:30:37.540 --> 01:30:40.180
How much smaller depends.

01:30:40.880 --> 01:30:47.200
But people are saying what's going to happen is that number is going to change by a lot, maybe by an order of magnitude.

01:30:48.160 --> 01:30:53.480
Just because we'll be able to see things that now we know we're sure are there, but we can't see them.

01:30:53.480 --> 01:30:55.460
So now we are blissfully ignorant.

01:30:55.460 --> 01:30:59.380
But then we'll be able to start seeing them and we can't be blissfully ignorant anymore.

01:30:59.380 --> 01:31:05.240
So now instead of 20,000 objects to see, we'll have 200,000 or more that we'll have to keep track of.

01:31:06.060 --> 01:31:09.020
And that just keeps continuing to proliferate.

01:31:09.020 --> 01:31:14.780
There have been numerous satellites damaged by debris and numerous other satellites.

01:31:15.040 --> 01:31:19.480
Maneuvering to avoid debris has become fairly routine.

01:31:20.400 --> 01:31:26.180
Every time I have to move my satellite, I'm spending propellant that I'm never going to get back.

01:31:27.120 --> 01:31:35.420
It's interesting, you look at geostationary, we once worked out what propellant is worth at geostationary orbit.

01:31:35.420 --> 01:31:39.500
Because a geostationary satellite makes like $100 million a year revenue.

01:31:39.500 --> 01:31:45.260
If you work out what the propellant is worth per gram, it's more expensive than plutonium.

01:31:45.660 --> 01:31:47.880
I mean, it's way more expensive than gold.

01:31:47.880 --> 01:31:49.900
It's more expensive than plutonium.

01:31:50.080 --> 01:31:55.100
So if I have to spend some of those precious grams of propellant, I'm not going to be happy.

01:31:55.120 --> 01:31:59.280
I'm going to have to dodge a piece of junk, you know what I'm saying?

01:31:59.320 --> 01:32:01.940
But that's the situation that we're dealing with.

01:32:03.080 --> 01:32:05.460
But the big dog in space is the sun.

01:32:05.460 --> 01:32:09.020
So the sun is putting out a number of things we have to pay attention to.

01:32:09.020 --> 01:32:11.660
First of all is electromagnetic radiation.

01:32:11.660 --> 01:32:17.000
So the physicists, you know, they use this word radiation, and they're not always clear about what they mean.

01:32:17.000 --> 01:32:23.500
So I'm going to distinguish between electromagnetic radiation and ionizing radiation, aka charged particles.

01:32:23.500 --> 01:32:27.740
So for electromagnetic radiation, we mean light and heat, right?

01:32:27.740 --> 01:32:33.560
And all across the electromagnetic spectrum, literally from X-rays and gamma rays all the way up the radio waves.

01:32:34.260 --> 01:32:36.880
You see the graph up there of the output of the sun.

01:32:36.880 --> 01:32:42.560
Most of the sun's output at EM, not too amazingly, is right in the middle of the visible.

01:32:42.660 --> 01:32:46.120
And that's a function of Wien's law, it turns out.

01:32:46.120 --> 01:32:49.540
But you see, this is actually Planck's law plotted there.

01:32:49.540 --> 01:32:53.300
But the peak of that curve is right in the middle of the visible.

01:32:53.500 --> 01:32:57.440
Which is convenient for us because that's what we can see.

01:32:57.660 --> 01:33:02.280
But the range is all the way from X-rays all the way up to radio waves.

01:33:02.760 --> 01:33:06.480
So the infrared, of course, is going to cause heating.

01:33:06.480 --> 01:33:09.140
The light we can turn into solar energy.

01:33:09.700 --> 01:33:12.160
Ultraviolet can cause damage of our surfaces.

01:33:12.300 --> 01:33:14.560
We can get radio interference from the sun.

01:33:14.560 --> 01:33:17.860
The sun is actually very noisy from a radio standpoint.

01:33:18.720 --> 01:33:21.480
And we actually get solar pressure.

01:33:21.480 --> 01:33:24.240
Force from the sun, from light.

01:33:24.240 --> 01:33:27.540
So light is made up of waves or particles.

01:33:27.540 --> 01:33:30.740
Depending on what mood you happen to be in when you do the experiment.

01:33:30.900 --> 01:33:33.540
And if it's a particle, we call that a photon.

01:33:33.540 --> 01:33:35.960
Now, photons do not have mass.

01:33:35.960 --> 01:33:37.680
Turns out they don't have volume either.

01:33:37.980 --> 01:33:40.780
But they do have momentum.

01:33:41.840 --> 01:33:43.880
That's a quantum thing.

01:33:43.920 --> 01:33:47.700
So a photon can actually transfer momentum to you.

01:33:47.700 --> 01:33:48.780
And it's not much.

01:33:48.780 --> 01:33:50.700
It's like five newtons per square kilometer.

01:33:50.700 --> 01:33:55.740
But if I have big old solar rays hanging out for my satellite, that can be significant over time.

01:33:55.740 --> 01:34:03.200
And if I had a really big sail, I could literally sail around the solar system, harnessing the pressure of light as I did that.

01:34:03.860 --> 01:34:05.420
So I have to worry about that.

01:34:05.420 --> 01:34:08.320
But probably the bigger worry are the charged particles.

01:34:08.660 --> 01:34:12.480
So by charged particle, I have to go back to the definition of an atom.

01:34:12.480 --> 01:34:17.760
If you guys remember the Bohr model of an atom, where in the nucleus you have a proton and electron.

01:34:17.780 --> 01:34:20.660
Proton being positive and then the electron being negative.

01:34:20.660 --> 01:34:22.920
Going around the outside there and the neutron neutral.

01:34:23.460 --> 01:34:25.780
And you probably know the story about the two atoms.

01:34:26.020 --> 01:34:27.400
Two atoms were walking down the road.

01:34:27.400 --> 01:34:30.500
One fell down and his buddy helped him back up and said, are you sure?

01:34:30.500 --> 01:34:31.700
Or he said, are you okay?

01:34:31.700 --> 01:34:34.180
He says, no, I think I lost an electron.

01:34:34.320 --> 01:34:35.160
He said, are you sure?

01:34:35.160 --> 01:34:36.380
He said, yeah, I'm positive.

01:34:36.740 --> 01:34:38.560
So that's how you know you lost an electron.

01:34:39.040 --> 01:34:44.160
And neutron walked into a bar and the bartender said, for you, no charge.

01:34:47.860 --> 01:34:51.780
Bartender said, we don't serve faster than light particles in here.

01:34:51.780 --> 01:34:53.860
The tachyon walked into a bar.

01:34:54.120 --> 01:34:55.900
So think about that one.

01:34:55.960 --> 01:34:58.400
So I got these charged particles.

01:34:58.400 --> 01:35:01.820
I have ions, which are positively charged.

01:35:01.820 --> 01:35:03.800
And then I have electrons or negative.

01:35:03.800 --> 01:35:08.360
And they're coming from the solar wind, which I said, there's this constant breeze coming off the sun.

01:35:08.360 --> 01:35:10.920
And then occasionally I get these big solar particle events.

01:35:10.920 --> 01:35:13.440
It's like a gust of these charged particles.

01:35:13.440 --> 01:35:16.360
I also get them coming from outside the solar system.

01:35:16.360 --> 01:35:18.640
We call those galactic cosmic rays.

01:35:18.640 --> 01:35:24.280
And then I get them concentrated in the Van Allen radiation belts in the Earth's magnetic field.

01:35:24.280 --> 01:35:26.760
So I kind of can't escape these things.

01:35:26.760 --> 01:35:37.560
And if you're watching that video on the bottom, you're seeing the sensors on the SOHO satellite start sort of fizzed out there when it got hit by a big solar particle event.

01:35:37.560 --> 01:35:40.080
So it affected the sensor there.

01:35:40.240 --> 01:35:43.580
So these charged particles come in kind of two flavors.

01:35:44.440 --> 01:35:47.900
But we're going to worry about low energy and the high energy.

01:35:48.940 --> 01:35:52.060
Stuff and the low energy we'll call plasma.

01:35:52.200 --> 01:35:57.760
So the plasma effects having to do with arcing, the plasma effects are mainly going to be on the surface.

01:35:57.760 --> 01:36:05.800
So arcing, electrostatic discharge, electromagnetic interference, and re-attracting of contaminants.

01:36:05.800 --> 01:36:10.540
Mostly this is going to be a problem at a geo, less so at LEO, and mainly on the surface.

01:36:10.540 --> 01:36:16.480
So this is an annoyance, but not something that's going to really be a big problem.

01:36:16.480 --> 01:36:17.920
I just noticed Pete's question there.

01:36:17.920 --> 01:36:20.460
Can an entire orbit be taken out with debris?

01:36:22.720 --> 01:36:24.320
We're almost there.

01:36:24.320 --> 01:36:29.860
You see that there were some popular orbits there, geostationary, you actually see a ring.

01:36:29.940 --> 01:36:37.800
And then in low Earth orbit, especially the sun synchronous orbits, they're getting so popular that there's a lot of debris built up there.

01:36:37.800 --> 01:36:43.660
Not to the point that that orbit is unusable, but there's certainly more debris in some orbits than others.

01:36:43.660 --> 01:36:44.480
That's for sure.

01:36:44.480 --> 01:36:46.260
So thanks for that question, Pete.

01:36:47.540 --> 01:36:51.740
Probably the most problematic issue has to do with the high energy charged particles.

01:36:51.740 --> 01:37:01.060
And so every once in a while, the sun burps out a big bunch of charged particles in a coronal mass ejection, shown in this animation in the upper right there.

01:37:01.160 --> 01:37:04.040
Luckily, most of the time, it's not aimed at us.

01:37:04.060 --> 01:37:07.120
But if it is, we got to be ready.

01:37:07.120 --> 01:37:11.220
So we get this big coronal mass ejection, all these big gusts of charged particles.

01:37:11.280 --> 01:37:13.880
Lucky for us, we have our shields up.

01:37:14.380 --> 01:37:20.640
So our Earth's magnetic field protects us from that big blob of charged particles, deflecting most of it.

01:37:20.660 --> 01:37:24.380
But some of those charged particles get trapped within the field lines.

01:37:24.420 --> 01:37:38.940
And then they go down and interact at the field generators, where the Klingons always target down there, and interact at the poles where the field lines come together and cause excitation of the atmosphere, which causes the glow, which is the Northern Lights and the Southern Lights.

01:37:39.080 --> 01:37:49.140
Now, for our spacecraft, those charged particles, those high energy ones, are going to go whipping through the surface of our satellite, like it's not even there, and go right through our electronics.

01:37:49.140 --> 01:37:59.420
And if it happens to hit the right spot, if the little bullet happens to be in the wrong place at the wrong time, then it can cause a latch up of one of the transistors on your microprocessor.

01:37:59.420 --> 01:38:03.640
It can affect the ability for your semiconductor to carry charge.

01:38:03.860 --> 01:38:07.780
And all that can have problems in terms of how your system's going to behave.

01:38:07.780 --> 01:38:11.240
So there's immediate effects here we call single event phenomenon.

01:38:11.240 --> 01:38:12.860
And they happen like that.

01:38:12.860 --> 01:38:18.580
I mean, they're like little bullets going in all the time that are causing issues with how our system is going to behave.

01:38:18.580 --> 01:38:23.920
It can flip a bit, it can latch up a part of a transistor.

01:38:24.180 --> 01:38:25.840
And there's sort of two effects here.

01:38:25.840 --> 01:38:29.440
I think of them in terms of sunburn and skin cancer.

01:38:29.440 --> 01:38:34.160
So the sunburns happening today, skin cancer is happening over many years.

01:38:34.160 --> 01:38:44.400
So you get an immediate effect, and then you get a, we call it total dose effect of accumulative degradation, the ability for our semiconductor to actually work.

01:38:44.400 --> 01:38:53.580
So at some point, it simply stops working after some number of months or years, depending on the substrate material and depending on the orbit that I'm in.

01:38:53.660 --> 01:38:59.000
That total dose then eventually causes my system to simply shut down, stop working.

01:38:59.080 --> 01:39:07.020
And we can look for materials that are less susceptible, but eventually everything succumbs.

01:39:07.020 --> 01:39:19.600
We have not found a system that is 100%, you know, unless you go back to iron core memory, anything that's a semiconductor is eventually going to succumb, at least as far as the technology we know now.

01:39:19.680 --> 01:39:21.740
So we can use some shielding.

01:39:21.740 --> 01:39:25.600
People usually guess lead is the best shielding, but it turns out that's not the best.

01:39:25.600 --> 01:39:29.840
It turns out hydrogen is the best shielding, but hydrogen is not very convenient.

01:39:30.200 --> 01:39:35.660
Water would be next best, but if I have humans on board, I probably have water anyway, so that's good.

01:39:35.660 --> 01:39:42.500
On the International Space Station, they actually use polyethylene, high density polyethylene, a couple of inches of that.

01:39:42.600 --> 01:39:45.680
The polyethylene is a hydrocarbon, so there's a lot of hydrogen there.

01:39:45.680 --> 01:39:48.220
That's the hydrogen that acts as the shield for them.

01:39:49.100 --> 01:39:53.720
But whatever I do, I have to build in air detection and correction because this stuff is going to happen.

01:39:53.720 --> 01:39:56.180
I mean, it's just price of doing business in space.

01:39:56.180 --> 01:40:03.740
So I have to have some quite a bit of software overhead to be constantly checking for these problems because they're just going to happen.

01:40:04.260 --> 01:40:06.800
So the natural environment's bad enough.

01:40:06.800 --> 01:40:10.800
Now I got to worry about the unnatural environment, the human environment.

01:40:10.800 --> 01:40:12.480
And these were the good old days.

01:40:12.480 --> 01:40:23.560
The good old days, we just launched satellites and we talked to them and everybody was cool and everybody was nice to each other and we didn't have to worry and we barely had any software anyway, so it didn't matter.

01:40:24.240 --> 01:40:25.740
And that life was good.

01:40:25.800 --> 01:40:27.780
That ain't the way it is anymore, right?

01:40:27.780 --> 01:40:29.400
Now we have bad actors.

01:40:29.400 --> 01:40:31.600
We're way more dependent on software.

01:40:31.600 --> 01:40:36.440
And these bad actors are doing things like spoofing and eavesdropping and denials of service.

01:40:37.260 --> 01:40:40.740
All of these are things that we now have to be concerned about.

01:40:41.080 --> 01:40:43.940
But we're not really prepared in the space industry.

01:40:43.940 --> 01:40:46.120
So we have some challenges in our industry.

01:40:46.120 --> 01:40:55.660
First of all, as we've just seen, some of the problems that can happen in spacecraft are hard to distinguish between a natural problem and an unnatural problem.

01:40:55.660 --> 01:41:03.900
If I have a single event upset, it may not immediately be obvious that that's, you know, because of the natural environment or because somebody hacked me.

01:41:04.600 --> 01:41:14.260
Also, space has suffered from a bit of, you know, it-can't-happen-here mentality, you know, where you tend to think we're, you know, nobody's going to bug us, but, you know, we're special.

01:41:14.260 --> 01:41:16.260
But of course, we're not that special.

01:41:17.080 --> 01:41:24.800
And space has tended to be fairly conservative and flexible and very non-agile in terms of adapting over time.

01:41:24.800 --> 01:41:26.520
A bit complacent, we could say.

01:41:26.520 --> 01:41:30.300
And we tended to view security as more of an afterthought than a forethought.

01:41:31.240 --> 01:41:33.960
And part of it is because fixing things is difficult.

01:41:33.960 --> 01:41:35.580
We can patch our systems.

01:41:35.580 --> 01:41:38.240
We can even do, you know, new software updates.

01:41:38.240 --> 01:41:39.520
But we're limited.

01:41:39.620 --> 01:41:41.760
Basically, we can't change our hardware.

01:41:41.940 --> 01:41:44.920
And we're limited in the ability of what we can do even to our software.

01:41:44.920 --> 01:41:48.080
So we just can't react that fast.

01:41:48.300 --> 01:41:52.420
The other issue is that the, you know, the attack surface just keeps growing.

01:41:52.420 --> 01:41:54.320
We're relying more and more on software.

01:41:54.320 --> 01:41:56.960
We have more and more distributed missions.

01:41:56.960 --> 01:41:58.900
We have a lot more actors involved.

01:41:58.900 --> 01:42:07.340
We have... our software tends to be more outdated, because we in the space business tend to build missions that last sometimes for decades.

01:42:07.440 --> 01:42:11.440
And so we're still using software from, you know, that nobody else has even heard of.

01:42:11.740 --> 01:42:16.580
And then we have trouble, you know, removing that software at end-of-life kind of problems.

01:42:17.180 --> 01:42:19.340
So that's the space environment issues.

01:42:19.340 --> 01:42:20.880
Again, space isn't that far away.

01:42:20.880 --> 01:42:24.200
We have a number of natural environment things we have to contend with.

01:42:24.200 --> 01:42:33.720
Big one from upsetting spacecraft standpoint are the high energy charge particles, which will cause a single event upsets and bit flips and things.

01:42:34.480 --> 01:42:40.040
And from a cyber's perspective, what I want you to take away here that, first of all, again, space is hard.

01:42:40.040 --> 01:42:42.020
And space sucks because it's vacuum.

01:42:42.120 --> 01:42:48.340
So it's hard enough to get things to work in space, you know, even on a good day, because that natural environment is a pretty big threat.

01:42:48.340 --> 01:42:53.980
And it's causing denial of service randomly already, you know, without any human intervention.

01:42:54.560 --> 01:43:06.480
And some of those anomalies that could occur if, you know, if there was a nefarious actor, we'd have a hard time immediately discerning the difference between a natural attack and an unnatural attack.

01:43:07.140 --> 01:43:22.640
And the other thing to take away is just how fragile spacecraft are, you know, relatively minor hack, like, you know, causing a solar array not to point quite at the sun, even if it was off by a few degrees, would decrease the amount of power it could produce,

01:43:22.640 --> 01:43:28.160
which might decrease its ability to do its mission, and on any number of things from a relatively smart area.

01:43:29.980 --> 01:43:37.520
So Gretchen's asking a question here, in the vein of threats, human actions, there are so many vulnerabilities to ground system, the support space that can be attacked.

01:43:37.520 --> 01:43:41.260
What would cybersecurity hack look like in the ground infrastructure?

01:43:41.420 --> 01:43:42.440
What would they get?

01:43:42.440 --> 01:43:44.640
And how could you protect against it?

01:43:44.940 --> 01:43:47.960
We're going to tackle some more of that here in a minute.

01:43:48.020 --> 01:43:49.900
Gretchen, thanks for that question.

01:43:49.900 --> 01:44:03.440
But we're, as we saw in that previous section, there's, I listed nine different activities for mission operations, and any one of those activities is a potential inroads for an attack.

01:44:04.160 --> 01:44:10.400
And that, in terms of that, and because they all represent parts of the ground infrastructure as well.

01:44:10.400 --> 01:44:19.220
And, you know, some of them more vulnerable than others, but any one of those are potential inroads, because you have people, processes, and things involved.

01:44:19.220 --> 01:44:34.220
And people can be a weak area there, and sometimes just the infrastructure we have, because it's maybe antiquated or doesn't have the, you know, and we're running, you know, legacy software from decades ago, we have more vulnerabilities in that respect.

01:44:34.220 --> 01:44:37.020
So hopefully that answered your question.

01:44:37.780 --> 01:44:40.020
So let's check in.

01:44:40.020 --> 01:44:47.000
Any other questions from that section before I pop up the poll?

01:44:48.560 --> 01:44:52.940
So who still wants to be an astronaut after seeing the threats?

01:44:56.790 --> 01:44:58.550
Who's changed their mind?

01:44:58.610 --> 01:45:00.310
Oh, Pete, you're still ready to go.

01:45:00.310 --> 01:45:00.870
Okay.

01:45:00.990 --> 01:45:02.270
Wear your lead underwear.

01:45:02.270 --> 01:45:05.390
Oh, wait, I guess you better wear your hydrogen underwear.

01:45:06.870 --> 01:45:09.090
Take a visit over an extended stay.

01:45:09.370 --> 01:45:09.950
Kilt.

01:45:09.950 --> 01:45:13.250
Okay, you're, yeah, that'll help you.

01:45:13.390 --> 01:45:23.050
So astronauts will tell you, because we didn't really talk about human issues, but I mean, it's scary to talk about what happens to humans, especially in the free fall environment.

01:45:23.050 --> 01:45:25.370
That's, that's, that can be pretty bad.

01:45:25.370 --> 01:45:29.190
The astronauts will tell you they'll see flashes of light in their eyes.

01:45:29.190 --> 01:45:37.050
So a charged particle goes through the eyeball, releases a photon, your retina can detect a single photon.

01:45:37.050 --> 01:45:43.310
And they see these little light bulbs going off in their eyes at random times, which is a bit of a freak out.

01:45:44.450 --> 01:45:46.670
So that's, that's an issue.

01:45:46.670 --> 01:45:48.290
We talked about shielding.

01:45:49.210 --> 01:45:54.430
The, the, again, for human missions, we can use water.

01:45:54.430 --> 01:46:02.250
In fact, NASA talks about using, creating like a storm shelter because these big solar particle events luckily don't last that long, you know, days.

01:46:02.250 --> 01:46:08.810
So if you can get astronauts to hunker down underneath bags of water for a couple of days, they'd probably be okay.

01:46:08.810 --> 01:46:18.370
But the radiation effects on humans is pretty, pretty critical to look at because a round trip mission to Mars is a, is a lifetime dosage.

01:46:18.390 --> 01:46:21.950
NASA sets the dosage limits based on age and gender.

01:46:22.470 --> 01:46:27.890
Women can take less dosage than men and older people can take more dosage than younger people.

01:46:27.890 --> 01:46:33.290
So of course, the answer for going to Mars is to send old men because you won't miss us anyway.

01:46:33.490 --> 01:46:36.850
And then you could argue about whether you should even bring us back.

01:46:36.850 --> 01:46:40.650
So in terms of a safety issue, but there you go.

01:46:41.590 --> 01:46:42.350
Yeah.

01:46:42.350 --> 01:46:47.230
And so Terry's talking, she, Terry, you want to say something about that JPL thing?

01:46:48.950 --> 01:46:49.790
Yeah, sure.

01:46:49.790 --> 01:47:04.690
So a couple of years ago, JPL was hacked and they were hacked because there was a, an unattended, unauthorized little Raspberry Pi, just a simple little computer hooked up to their network.

01:47:04.690 --> 01:47:20.530
And so an external threat actor got in, actually came in through that Raspberry Pi or targeted it, was able to crawl around their network for about 10 months and, and received about 500 meg of data about one of the Mars missions.

01:47:20.530 --> 01:47:27.930
So that's just an example where, you know, you've really got to watch the people in your network and what they are putting on your network.

01:47:28.710 --> 01:47:29.230
Yeah.

01:47:29.230 --> 01:47:36.470
And I guess be conscious that, you know, all it takes is one slip up and somebody's just waiting for that slip up, you know, in that case.

01:47:36.730 --> 01:47:38.770
You talk about gravity effects on humans.

01:47:38.770 --> 01:47:45.170
So quickly, there's three things with gravity effects on humans, moans, groans, and stones.

01:47:45.210 --> 01:47:53.730
So the moans come from vestibular issues where you just are space sick and you feel like crap because you're, you're just, you know, motion sick.

01:47:53.970 --> 01:48:02.150
Bones comes from a lack of, you know, you know, force on your, on your bones, so your bones lose, lose, lose mass.

01:48:02.290 --> 01:48:11.910
And, and then stones come from a fluid shift because you get fluid that moves to your upper body because your, your legs keep pushing fluid into your upper body, even though it doesn't need to.

01:48:11.910 --> 01:48:18.450
And you're, and you, you start offloading liquid, which means you're going to be dehydrated, which can lead to kidney stones.

01:48:18.450 --> 01:48:21.670
So all of that are issues with gravitational effects.

01:48:21.730 --> 01:48:34.070
Building rotating space stations would be cool, but the, you know, you look at the mass of the entire International Space Station, you'd need a couple times more of that mass to build something even close to big enough to be useful.

01:48:34.070 --> 01:48:39.130
Because if it's a relatively small radius, people would just throw up if they're going around in circles like that.

01:48:39.130 --> 01:48:40.770
So you need a pretty big radius.

01:48:40.770 --> 01:48:42.690
And I can't remember what the minimum radius is.

01:48:42.690 --> 01:48:44.150
Somebody's studied that.

01:48:44.150 --> 01:48:55.410
But it's, it's like 50 meters or at least before otherwise you just you the Coriolis would give you all kinds of vestibular issues.

01:48:55.410 --> 01:48:57.270
So it needs to be a pretty big thing.

01:48:57.270 --> 01:49:00.970
So now we're not quite ready to build something that big yet.

01:49:00.970 --> 01:49:02.470
That'd be nice though.

01:49:02.950 --> 01:49:04.870
All right, let me release the pole.

01:49:05.510 --> 01:49:07.290
Release the hounds.

01:49:07.930 --> 01:49:09.730
Release the pole.

01:49:09.730 --> 01:49:11.850
So we just did threats.

01:49:15.680 --> 01:49:17.820
So let's go ahead and take this poll.

01:49:17.900 --> 01:49:22.560
And then we'll give you about five minutes or so to take the poll.

01:49:22.560 --> 01:49:25.940
Then we'll review that we got time for a little stretch break.

01:49:25.940 --> 01:49:29.760
And then we'll start back up at the at the bottom of the hour.

01:49:29.760 --> 01:49:33.520
So that should be 4.30 pacific time.

01:49:34.060 --> 01:49:37.260
And all right.

01:49:37.260 --> 01:49:37.800
Yeah.

01:49:38.800 --> 01:49:41.240
And then so I guess my little has scheduled.

01:49:41.240 --> 01:49:42.200
That's good.

01:49:43.440 --> 01:49:47.180
So we'll start back up at 4.30 pacific time.

01:49:47.180 --> 01:49:50.160
And then we'll pick up with vulnerabilities there in a minute.

01:49:50.160 --> 01:49:51.680
So go ahead and take the poll.

01:49:51.720 --> 01:49:54.220
And then we'll check in and see how everybody did with that.

01:53:47.900 --> 01:53:49.840
All right, let's see how we did here.

01:53:50.180 --> 01:53:54.720
So we have results.

01:53:56.540 --> 01:53:58.420
So first question.

01:53:59.080 --> 01:54:02.660
Space is incredibly, amazingly, ridiculously far, far away.

01:54:04.700 --> 01:54:06.260
Nope, pretty close, right?

01:54:06.260 --> 01:54:07.300
100 kilometers.

01:54:07.840 --> 01:54:09.920
Drag affects all satellites in every orbit.

01:54:13.020 --> 01:54:14.820
I guess you missed that one.

01:54:14.820 --> 01:54:17.360
So no, right?

01:54:17.360 --> 01:54:21.800
Remember we said 600 kilometers was under the rule of thumb there.

01:54:21.800 --> 01:54:25.140
So we're above 600, then I don't need to worry about drag.

01:54:25.980 --> 01:54:28.280
Below 600, then yeah, I do need to worry about drag.

01:54:28.280 --> 01:54:31.060
So maybe I misspoke there and confused you on that one.

01:54:31.060 --> 01:54:35.600
So I said, yeah, there's atmosphere all the way up to the moon, but not enough to worry about.

01:54:36.120 --> 01:54:42.000
But the 600 kilometers is sort of the line in the sand there for us.

01:54:42.300 --> 01:54:47.660
So those bit flips are caused by the high energy charged particles are pretty pretty much got that one.

01:54:48.040 --> 01:54:55.840
And yeah, the scary thing here is anomalous behavior by satellite could be indistinguishable from a natural threat.

01:54:55.840 --> 01:54:58.380
So it's really hard to know right at first.

01:54:58.380 --> 01:55:04.740
And then all of the above represent the cybersecurity challenges that we talked about.

01:55:04.740 --> 01:55:14.740
And then key things there for denial of service was the TOS flood, the Internet of Things botnet attack, and then ping flood type issues.

01:55:14.740 --> 01:55:17.120
So most of you did okay on there.

01:55:17.300 --> 01:55:18.340
All right.

01:55:18.340 --> 01:55:20.760
So let me stop sharing that.

01:55:22.260 --> 01:55:24.920
So let's move to our last section.

01:55:24.920 --> 01:55:31.520
And then you want to stay tuned because we're going to have our little cybersecurity challenge here at the end to see how you do.

01:55:31.680 --> 01:55:39.020
So here we want to look at some specific areas of vulnerability, the RF systems and data handling systems.

01:55:39.320 --> 01:55:44.800
So we're going to look at those pipes and those uplink and downlink pipes that we talked about.

01:55:44.880 --> 01:55:47.480
We want to know how those pipes work.

01:55:47.480 --> 01:55:49.040
How do I set up a pipe?

01:55:49.040 --> 01:55:52.560
And that means how do I maybe disrupt the pipe as well?

01:55:52.560 --> 01:55:55.160
So these pipes are fine-tuned things.

01:55:55.160 --> 01:55:58.780
We need to make sure that they work correctly because it's all about moving the data.

01:55:58.860 --> 01:56:00.720
And then we'll look at the data handling system.

01:56:00.720 --> 01:56:05.740
So I've got my little cartoon there of a computer and we've got some ones and zeros there.

01:56:05.740 --> 01:56:10.260
If you stare carefully there, you see that my artist put a two in there.

01:56:10.260 --> 01:56:13.060
So I guess that's a bit flip when that happened.

01:56:14.040 --> 01:56:16.380
So let's start with a communication system.

01:56:16.380 --> 01:56:19.440
So this is the ears and the mouth of our spacecraft.

01:56:19.440 --> 01:56:26.280
So we have to listen for commands coming up from the ground and we have to talk to send telemetry down to the ground.

01:56:26.880 --> 01:56:33.880
Along the way, we have to turn that data into modulated information that goes on to the carriers we'll talk about.

01:56:33.880 --> 01:56:42.240
So we have modulators and demodulators that work with that carrier signal that we'll look at to actually move that data from where it needs to go.

01:56:42.240 --> 01:56:47.400
And then that data then connects up to the data handling system as we'll see here in a little bit.

01:56:48.080 --> 01:56:52.280
So the key part here is these communication architectures.

01:56:52.280 --> 01:56:54.600
So again, it's all about moving the data.

01:56:54.600 --> 01:56:56.640
So I have ground systems all over the place.

01:56:56.640 --> 01:57:02.940
I showed you those Air Force Satellite Control Network and Deep Space Network and that Universal Space Network.

01:57:02.940 --> 01:57:08.420
We have these ground stations all over the darn place and we're moving data all over between them.

01:57:08.420 --> 01:57:12.940
Now, space to space and ground to space, downlinks are going to be RF.

01:57:13.020 --> 01:57:17.620
And once it's on the ground, then we can move things around through fiber.

01:57:17.720 --> 01:57:21.320
Fiber is actually a lot better than RF for a whole lot of reasons.

01:57:21.800 --> 01:57:26.680
But for space, ain't no fiber up to the space, at least yet, until we can build that space elevator.

01:57:26.820 --> 01:57:28.700
We're kind of stuck with RF links.

01:57:28.700 --> 01:57:33.880
And so that they create their own challenges and vulnerabilities as we're going to see.

01:57:34.780 --> 01:57:40.480
So let's talk about how RF communication works, which means we have to talk about how communication works.

01:57:41.160 --> 01:57:45.140
And I'm sure everybody, when they were a kid, got to play with two cans and a string.

01:57:45.760 --> 01:57:50.000
And kind of unlike the cartoon in the top, the string needs to be tight.

01:57:50.000 --> 01:57:55.820
So our scientists, they're not holding the string tight the way they need to, but for, you know, artistic license there.

01:57:55.900 --> 01:58:08.660
So the guy on the right is going to talk into his cup and that's going to, his voice is going to bounce on the bottom of the can and his voice will then get modulated onto the string.

01:58:08.660 --> 01:58:24.280
Now the string is going to carry that vibration to the other person who's got the cup up to her ear, and it's going to bounce on the bottom of her cup, where it'll be demodulated, and then she's going to hear kind of whatever it was that he said.

01:58:24.280 --> 01:58:24.840
Okay.

01:58:25.160 --> 01:58:28.880
So RF communication, the only difference is no string.

01:58:28.880 --> 01:58:36.760
In fact, it's really, it's the carrier that acts as the string, as the carrier is where we're going to modulate our information onto.

01:58:36.980 --> 01:58:38.360
But we have to have that carrier.

01:58:38.360 --> 01:58:43.680
So we have to have that string that goes from me to you, and that's how we're going to get our information there.

01:58:43.720 --> 01:58:49.540
Now it turns out there's various ways to modulate that information onto the carrier.

01:58:49.540 --> 01:59:01.860
In the space business, we tend to use digital communication, and there's three basic ways you can think of to do modulation, two of which you have in your car, amplitude modulation and frequency modulation.

01:59:01.860 --> 01:59:10.420
So our cartoon there shows a simple example of amplitude modulation, where low amplitude means a zero, and higher amplitude means a one.

01:59:10.420 --> 01:59:16.420
I could do frequency modulation, so every time I shifted frequency, that could be a zero or a one.

01:59:16.420 --> 01:59:23.800
In the space business, we tend to use phase modulation, where every time we swap phase, we can go between a zero and a one.

01:59:24.020 --> 01:59:27.820
So, you know, kind of pick your language, really.

01:59:27.960 --> 01:59:38.240
It turns in space, it turns out that phase modulation is a little more forgiving, so we tend to use that more in space, but there's, we could use the others if we wanted to, we just don't, they don't work as well.

01:59:38.540 --> 01:59:42.260
But for, you know, for your car, it's fine, you know, we're fine.

01:59:42.340 --> 01:59:44.480
So various ways to do that.

01:59:44.800 --> 01:59:52.740
Now, what we're trying to make sure happens is that we can have a conversation, right, between the spacecraft and the ground, they need to have a conversation.

01:59:52.740 --> 02:00:02.620
And that conversation is no different from what you, the conversation you want to have with your buddies when you're out, you know, out at the restaurant or bar at night, back when we could go to restaurants and bars.

02:00:03.320 --> 02:00:10.680
Well, I'm sure most of you remember being in a bar at one time in your life, and you're trying to have a conversation with somebody on the other side.

02:00:10.740 --> 02:00:14.020
And there's a lot of things that we're going to complicate that.

02:00:14.160 --> 02:00:20.360
First of all, you and your, whoever you're talking to, is helpful if you're speaking the same language, right?

02:00:20.360 --> 02:00:25.560
If you're trying to speak to someone in a language they don't understand, it doesn't matter how loud you talk.

02:00:25.560 --> 02:00:31.640
Most, well, of course, Americans know that if you talk English loud enough, anywhere on earth, people will understand you.

02:00:31.640 --> 02:00:33.320
But that's not usually the case.

02:00:33.360 --> 02:00:36.800
So we need to make sure we pick the right language.

02:00:36.940 --> 02:00:39.320
And we also need to be on the right frequency.

02:00:39.320 --> 02:00:44.220
You know, so if I'm, if I'm using, you know, dog whistle frequency, you're not going to hear me, right?

02:00:44.220 --> 02:00:47.560
So we, you know, let's pick with audio frequencies here.

02:00:47.940 --> 02:00:49.020
Distance is important.

02:00:49.020 --> 02:00:51.740
If I'm too far away, you can't hear me.

02:00:51.740 --> 02:00:53.260
And data rate is important.

02:00:53.260 --> 02:00:57.180
If I talk too quickly, you can't really understand me.

02:00:57.180 --> 02:00:59.460
You might hear me, but you won't really understand me.

02:00:59.460 --> 02:01:01.240
So I have those things to play with.

02:01:01.240 --> 02:01:04.480
Language, frequency, distance, data rate, and then environment.

02:01:04.480 --> 02:01:09.620
So if somebody's making a lot of noise, then I'm not going to be able to hear what the other person's saying either.

02:01:09.620 --> 02:01:13.820
So all those things have to be balanced to make sure we have effective communication.

02:01:14.000 --> 02:01:18.580
And what we're really after here is making sure that the signal is greater than the noise.

02:01:18.580 --> 02:01:21.620
If the signal is higher than the noise, then you're probably going to hear me.

02:01:21.620 --> 02:01:25.340
If the noise is greater than the signal, then you're probably not going to hear me.

02:01:26.500 --> 02:01:34.840
And this gets tied up into what we call Fry's equation, which is for how we calculate link budgets on all of these various links I just showed you.

02:01:34.840 --> 02:01:41.820
So it looks like a little complicated equation, but it's really not that bad, because what it's really doing is implementing the things that we just talked about.

02:01:41.820 --> 02:01:49.440
So instead of being in a bar having a conversation, now I'm having a conversation between two dishes, as we show there on the bottom right.

02:01:49.620 --> 02:01:51.540
And so the same things apply.

02:01:51.540 --> 02:01:55.620
I have to pick the right frequency, in this case the frequency of our carrier wave.

02:01:55.620 --> 02:01:58.560
I have to pick the right language, which is the modulation.

02:01:58.780 --> 02:02:01.840
I'm worried about distance, which we call space loss.

02:02:01.840 --> 02:02:03.680
I'm worried about the data rate.

02:02:03.700 --> 02:02:05.080
And I'm worried about noise.

02:02:05.840 --> 02:02:07.900
So all of those are things I have to consider.

02:02:07.900 --> 02:02:10.800
And they're all packed into that equation there at the top.

02:02:10.800 --> 02:02:17.320
Because what we're trying to do is ensure that for every bit, the energy is greater than the noise.

02:02:17.320 --> 02:02:21.080
So we call energy per bit to noise ratio, or EB over NO.

02:02:21.100 --> 02:02:24.900
So energy per bit to noise ratio wants to be greater than one.

02:02:25.120 --> 02:02:27.820
And that's going to be determined by a number of things.

02:02:27.820 --> 02:02:29.780
I have only a number of things I can play with.

02:02:29.880 --> 02:02:32.800
Transmitter power, basically how loud I'm going to talk.

02:02:32.800 --> 02:02:37.400
Transmitter gain, how I maybe direct what I say.

02:02:37.980 --> 02:02:40.480
The space loss, how close I am.

02:02:40.480 --> 02:02:44.080
The receiver antenna gain, how big the ears are on the ground.

02:02:44.080 --> 02:02:45.620
And the data rate.

02:02:45.700 --> 02:02:49.420
The lower the data rate, the easier it is to get the message through.

02:02:49.440 --> 02:02:52.780
So there are not that many knobs I can turn here.

02:02:52.780 --> 02:02:58.080
But these are the things that I have to have all in place to make sure I have effective communication.

02:02:58.080 --> 02:03:05.280
So if I were to impact any one of these in some negative way, I'm going to reduce my ability to communicate significantly.

02:03:05.520 --> 02:03:08.900
And we see that already with things like Voyager.

02:03:08.900 --> 02:03:12.560
So Voyager keeps going and going and going.

02:03:12.640 --> 02:03:13.920
Energizer bunny, right?

02:03:14.000 --> 02:03:21.100
Eventually the power on its radioisotope thermoelectric generator is going to give out, I think, in about 20 years, they said.

02:03:21.920 --> 02:03:27.620
But even now, it's so far away, the space losses are basically killing our ability to hear it.

02:03:27.620 --> 02:03:31.600
In fact, I don't think we're going to be able to hear it in about another five or 10 years.

02:03:31.700 --> 02:03:33.920
Already, its signal is below the noise.

02:03:33.920 --> 02:03:39.640
And it has to keep repeating itself over and over and over before we can finally pick the signal out of the noise.

02:03:39.880 --> 02:03:43.800
But for something in low Earth orbit, we can't have it just keep repeating itself.

02:03:43.800 --> 02:03:46.100
We want to hear it the first time if we can.

02:03:46.240 --> 02:03:48.580
So these are challenges that we have to face.

02:03:48.760 --> 02:03:54.400
And the other challenges have to do with the limitations that we have for building up these links.

02:03:54.400 --> 02:03:57.980
We have some physical limits that have to do with the atmosphere.

02:03:58.180 --> 02:04:06.740
So certain frequencies are going to get attenuated by the atmosphere, especially some of the higher frequencies that don't like going through rain very well.

02:04:06.980 --> 02:04:12.280
There's some technical limits in terms of just how big of an antenna you can put on a satellite.

02:04:12.280 --> 02:04:17.340
But the biggest antennas flying right now are about 15 meters.

02:04:18.360 --> 02:04:23.620
It's just hard to put in and that has to fold up like an origami and then unfold.

02:04:24.280 --> 02:04:31.040
The Galileo spacecraft we show there in the illustration at the top, they went to Jupiter back in the 90s.

02:04:31.200 --> 02:04:38.040
It had this high gain antenna that was supposed to unfurl like an umbrella, but two of the ribs got stuck together.

02:04:38.040 --> 02:04:39.520
They think it was cold welding.

02:04:39.520 --> 02:04:41.980
So they could never unfurl that high gain antenna.

02:04:41.980 --> 02:04:53.360
So they had to run the whole mission on the low gain antenna, which they lost something like an order or two orders of magnitude less data rate to be able to run the mission, which is problematic.

02:04:53.380 --> 02:05:01.900
So just by affecting that one thing, you've impacted the mission greatly in terms of its ability to move data.

02:05:02.740 --> 02:05:05.560
And of course, there's other technical limits to consider as well.

02:05:05.760 --> 02:05:08.600
I can only generate so much power on board.

02:05:08.900 --> 02:05:12.500
And a lot of the stuff on the ground are already built.

02:05:12.500 --> 02:05:14.220
The frequencies are already established.

02:05:14.220 --> 02:05:17.100
So there's just limits to what I can do.

02:05:17.100 --> 02:05:19.260
And then of course, there's legal limits.

02:05:19.400 --> 02:05:26.760
You can't just wake up tomorrow and decide you're going to start your own radio station, the FCC is going to come shut you down.

02:05:26.780 --> 02:05:35.980
And the same goes in space, you can't simply launch a satellite and start broadcasting willy nilly and whatever frequency you want, you have to get approval to use that.

02:05:35.980 --> 02:05:40.180
And the approval comes from through the International Telecommunications Union.

02:05:40.180 --> 02:05:43.380
And that's fairly highly regulated, which is a good thing.

02:05:43.380 --> 02:05:45.240
Otherwise, it'd be chaos up there.

02:05:45.900 --> 02:05:55.660
So even though you might want to do certain things, if you don't have the frequency allocation, you're going to be out of luck in terms of what you can actually do.

02:05:58.640 --> 02:06:05.640
So the trade space then here ends up being, what can I do to affect my EV over NO?

02:06:05.640 --> 02:06:10.380
How can I make sure that when I talk, people can hear me and understand me?

02:06:10.380 --> 02:06:11.140
Well, what can I do?

02:06:11.140 --> 02:06:12.860
Well, I can talk louder, right?

02:06:12.860 --> 02:06:15.660
I can get more power out of my spacecraft.

02:06:16.180 --> 02:06:21.540
But there's going to be a limit, and there's only so much power I have available from my solar panels.

02:06:21.580 --> 02:06:23.520
I can get a bigger megaphone, right?

02:06:23.520 --> 02:06:27.700
But again, I can only put so big of an antenna on my spacecraft.

02:06:27.960 --> 02:06:32.280
I can try to get closer, but hey, if I'm Voyager, I'm leaving the solar system, man.

02:06:32.280 --> 02:06:33.720
That's not an option.

02:06:33.920 --> 02:06:36.660
I can try to get bigger ears on the ground.

02:06:37.060 --> 02:06:39.440
But most of our ground stations are already fixed.

02:06:39.440 --> 02:06:42.000
They represent billions of dollars of investment.

02:06:42.000 --> 02:06:45.220
I'm probably not going to simply go build new ones necessarily.

02:06:45.220 --> 02:06:47.480
I can try to talk slower.

02:06:47.660 --> 02:06:52.080
That'll make it easier, but then I'm going to take longer to get the same information to the ground.

02:06:52.080 --> 02:06:55.040
That means it's going to take more passes to do that.

02:06:55.040 --> 02:07:02.020
I can try to reduce the noise in the environment, but there's a limit to what I can do there, especially for existing systems.

02:07:02.040 --> 02:07:07.280
And I try to move to higher frequencies, but that means new technologies often.

02:07:07.340 --> 02:07:17.160
We're getting a crowding right now because a lot of the frequencies that space has traditionally used are starting to get more terrestrial applications as well.

02:07:17.160 --> 02:07:30.240
And when there's a contest between space application and terrestrial applications, terrestrial tends to win, which means space is getting crowded out of its traditional S-band, C-band frequencies.

02:07:30.240 --> 02:07:43.560
In fact, there's a slew of satellite orders just came in this year because they're trying to provide better utilization for some of the C-band frequencies that are available, which is good news to people building satellites.

02:07:44.420 --> 02:07:54.400
So there's a push to move space to higher frequencies, which is good for a lot of reasons, but bad because we don't necessarily have all the infrastructure in place.

02:07:54.400 --> 02:07:59.500
It's going to represent some big investment to start moving your frequencies around.

02:07:59.900 --> 02:08:05.620
So those are issues we have to think about when it comes to these things.

02:08:07.240 --> 02:08:11.420
So those are the key issues with communication.

02:08:11.420 --> 02:08:15.960
So again, I wanted you to understand fundamentally how communication works.

02:08:16.480 --> 02:08:27.740
We've got the two cans in the string, we've got our carrier, and here we have our carrier wave, which is some frequency that's been allocated to us, and then we're going to modulate our information on top of that.

02:08:27.980 --> 02:08:33.700
When we talk, we want people to hear us, which means we need the energy per bit to be greater than the noise.

02:08:33.700 --> 02:08:43.980
So that means I only have so many things I can play with there in terms of how loud I talk, how big my antenna is, distance, frequency, language, speed, environment.

02:08:44.780 --> 02:08:54.580
And then we have some limitations we have to deal with, physical, technical, legal, and a number of trade-offs then that impact what we can and can't do with that.

02:08:54.640 --> 02:08:56.260
Any questions on RF?

02:08:56.260 --> 02:09:11.660
So you just got about a semester course on RF communication in 15 minutes or so, but I want to make sure you understand where the... because it's fairly technical, but it's a technical because it really impacts what you can and can't do.

02:09:11.660 --> 02:09:20.620
A lot of it's physics and technology, so we have to be aware of what those limitations are, both from a security standpoint and a vulnerability standpoint.

02:09:20.880 --> 02:09:22.800
Any questions on any of that?

02:09:24.120 --> 02:09:26.700
How's my EB over NO coming through?

02:09:30.020 --> 02:09:31.520
So far so good?

02:09:34.320 --> 02:09:35.680
Nancy, can you hear me?

02:09:35.680 --> 02:09:36.560
All good?

02:09:38.660 --> 02:09:39.760
All good.

02:09:39.760 --> 02:09:40.540
Loud and clear.

02:09:40.540 --> 02:09:40.560
All right.

02:09:40.560 --> 02:09:42.180
Everything sounds great so far, yeah.

02:09:42.540 --> 02:09:45.620
Should say 3 dB, that would be good.

02:09:46.440 --> 02:09:48.680
So, all right.

02:09:48.680 --> 02:09:52.620
Well, let's look then at what's happening in the data handling system.

02:09:52.620 --> 02:09:56.800
So the data handling system now is really our brains of our spacecraft.

02:09:56.800 --> 02:09:59.200
So it's doing all the thinking for us.

02:09:59.320 --> 02:10:01.280
And so it's got a lot to do, right?

02:10:01.280 --> 02:10:04.200
If you think of it as a to-do list, it's a long to-do list.

02:10:04.200 --> 02:10:06.300
It's got to respond to commands from the ground.

02:10:06.300 --> 02:10:11.980
It's got to come up with telemetry from the health and status as well as the payload.

02:10:12.280 --> 02:10:18.840
It's got to boot up on its own and self-test, and it has to fix errors if it finds them.

02:10:18.840 --> 02:10:21.220
And it has to control everything on the satellite.

02:10:21.220 --> 02:10:22.040
It has to control the heat.

02:10:22.040 --> 02:10:23.400
It has to control power.

02:10:23.400 --> 02:10:24.800
It has to control the pointing.

02:10:24.800 --> 02:10:26.380
It has to control rockets.

02:10:26.520 --> 02:10:29.880
All that stuff has to happen on board that.

02:10:29.900 --> 02:10:32.880
And it has to be ready to be updated.

02:10:32.880 --> 02:10:38.280
So over-the-air updates, kind of like a Tesla, it's got to be ready for over-the-air updates whenever they're ready.

02:10:38.400 --> 02:10:39.800
And that could be patches.

02:10:39.800 --> 02:10:43.340
It could be complete software updates over the life of the mission.

02:10:43.340 --> 02:10:45.080
So that's a lot.

02:10:45.080 --> 02:10:51.080
On top of that, it's got to do it in the space environment when we just talked about how nasty that place is.

02:10:51.080 --> 02:10:54.320
So I have to deal with all that on top of everything else.

02:10:54.320 --> 02:10:58.900
So it makes this data handling problem pretty difficult.

02:10:59.380 --> 02:11:08.540
So that brains of the operation then is tightly coupled to the communication system because it doesn't do me any good to handle data if I can't communicate it.

02:11:08.540 --> 02:11:12.100
So sometimes it'll be called the command and data handling system.

02:11:12.100 --> 02:11:14.900
Sometimes the communication data handling system.

02:11:14.900 --> 02:11:17.560
Depends on who you talk to and which organization they're in.

02:11:17.560 --> 02:11:19.680
But it's all about moving the data.

02:11:19.680 --> 02:11:22.080
So I can't communicate the data if I can't handle it.

02:11:22.080 --> 02:11:24.260
And just because I handle it, I still need to communicate it.

02:11:24.260 --> 02:11:26.420
So all pretty much goes together.

02:11:27.200 --> 02:11:28.320
So what's in there?

02:11:28.320 --> 02:11:30.560
So let's look under the hood here and see what's there.

02:11:30.560 --> 02:11:33.900
And not too surprisingly, we're basically talking about a computer , right?

02:11:33.900 --> 02:11:35.080
So what's in there?

02:11:35.080 --> 02:11:40.740
Well, we've got some sort of central processing unit, probably multiple central processing units.

02:11:41.560 --> 02:11:46.560
We have memory, RAM and ROM, pretty much, you know, solid state memory these days.

02:11:46.560 --> 02:11:48.320
Don't fly tape drives anymore.

02:11:48.600 --> 02:11:50.440
And then input output devices.

02:11:50.440 --> 02:11:54.600
So space business tends to lean heavily on standards.

02:11:54.640 --> 02:11:57.820
So there are a number of data bus standards that are fairly common.

02:11:57.820 --> 02:11:59.980
One is called MIL-STD-1553.

02:11:59.980 --> 02:12:01.860
There's another one called SpaceWire.

02:12:02.340 --> 02:12:11.460
And they'll, you know, the 1553, I want to say is what about one to three megabits or something like that data rate, which is fine for most applications on a satellite.

02:12:11.460 --> 02:12:13.720
And people build equipment to that standard.

02:12:13.720 --> 02:12:15.340
So it's easy to get to.

02:12:15.520 --> 02:12:17.840
And then we have a lot of other components too.

02:12:17.840 --> 02:12:22.640
So we have transducers that are measuring stuff all over our spacecraft.

02:12:22.640 --> 02:12:36.540
So whether it's temperature or pressure or whatever, we have transducers that act as analog to digital converters to, you know, turn that analog world into a digital world so that we can do stuff with it.

02:12:36.540 --> 02:12:43.260
We make a lot of use on space systems on field programmable gate arrays, FPGAs.

02:12:43.260 --> 02:12:53.180
There are fairly versatile processor units that you can program in firmware to do any number of things.

02:12:53.180 --> 02:12:59.660
We use them for digital signal processing and other kind of well-defined tasks on board a spacecraft.

02:12:59.660 --> 02:13:03.280
So you'll see a lot of FPGAs show up.

02:13:03.280 --> 02:13:11.040
And then sometimes application-specific integrated circuits that may be a custom circuit that are done for a specific application.

02:13:11.040 --> 02:13:18.920
Again, maybe digital signal processing or maybe some particular payload interaction or something that we're doing.

02:13:19.560 --> 02:13:21.100
That's all the hardware.

02:13:21.100 --> 02:13:23.140
Of course, the hardware is kind of the easy bit.

02:13:23.140 --> 02:13:24.800
And then we get to the software.

02:13:24.800 --> 02:13:27.160
And without software, we got nothing.

02:13:27.160 --> 02:13:28.960
We just got a box of silicon.

02:13:29.020 --> 02:13:31.860
So it's the software that's enabling.

02:13:31.860 --> 02:13:36.400
So we more and more think of spacecraft as a box that flies software.

02:13:37.200 --> 02:13:41.940
We think of software as the complexity sponge for how everything gets done.

02:13:41.940 --> 02:13:52.320
And as you go around the spacecraft and look at every single subsystem, pretty much every subsystem needs some amount of software, some more than others.

02:13:52.320 --> 02:13:55.860
But it's pretty hard to do much of anything without software.

02:13:56.620 --> 02:13:59.400
And software, and that's true across aerospace.

02:13:59.400 --> 02:14:03.420
There was a gentleman giving a talk a number of years ago from Lockheed Martin.

02:14:03.420 --> 02:14:06.280
I think he was a chief technology officer, chief scientist.

02:14:06.280 --> 02:14:07.820
And he was talking about that.

02:14:07.820 --> 02:14:09.400
I think he was talking about the F-22.

02:14:09.860 --> 02:14:17.340
And he said that half the cost of the F-22 was in testing, and half of that was in software.

02:14:17.340 --> 02:14:26.220
And he made the kind of the joke, and he said he was only half joking, that Lockheed might be better off giving away airplanes and charging for software.

02:14:26.380 --> 02:14:35.880
And that's kind of where we're going, that the price of hardware is asymptoting to zero, and the price of software is asymptoting to infinity.

02:14:36.140 --> 02:14:40.800
So most of the cost these days is in software development, testing, maintenance.

02:14:41.980 --> 02:14:48.980
We're kind of shifting to a world of DevOps, where we're kind of continuously maintaining and developing your code.

02:14:48.980 --> 02:14:51.800
Because that's where the functionality is.

02:14:51.800 --> 02:14:56.000
And I'm a hardware guy saying this, and having to admit how important software is.

02:14:56.000 --> 02:14:57.940
So this is where we're going.

02:14:57.940 --> 02:15:00.500
And we're depending on it more and more.

02:15:00.500 --> 02:15:07.500
So software use has been going up following Augustine's law, which is 10x every 10 years or so.

02:15:07.500 --> 02:15:20.180
It's funny, you go back to 1960s, and NASA flew Mariner 6, I think it went to Venus, with 30 lines of code, three zero lines of code.

02:15:20.200 --> 02:15:25.980
Now it's probably machine code, and all of you who do software know that lines of code is a terrible metric.

02:15:26.000 --> 02:15:33.160
But we use it anyway, because if you can't measure what's important, measure what you can and argue that it's important.

02:15:33.700 --> 02:15:44.000
But we, you know, so now fast forward today, and when they launched the rover on its way to Mars last week, it probably had something like 2 million lines of code on it.

02:15:44.040 --> 02:15:48.820
2 million lines of code is not impressive when you compare it to a car.

02:15:48.820 --> 02:15:52.400
So a new car probably has 100 million lines of code.

02:15:53.520 --> 02:15:55.220
But space is different, right?

02:15:55.220 --> 02:16:00.160
So we're, you know, even so space is going up exponentially in its name, in its use of code.

02:16:00.160 --> 02:16:08.820
And the way we use code is still different from from a car, where we have to, we have a lot more demands on space software than we have even on automotive software.

02:16:09.240 --> 02:16:14.780
And, and that creates, again, more of a threat space for us to be concerned about.

02:16:14.780 --> 02:16:19.000
And when we start depending on code, of course, code can let us down.

02:16:19.360 --> 02:16:25.180
So this is that famous example of what happened with the Mars Climate Orbiter.

02:16:25.360 --> 02:16:32.300
And Mars Climate Orbiter had, was on its way to Mars, was going to inter-orbit around Mars back in 99.

02:16:32.540 --> 02:16:43.000
And the way this mission was, and I'll play the video there, so it was on its way to Mars, it was going to inter-orbit around Mars, and it was going to fire its rocket to inter-orbit.

02:16:43.000 --> 02:16:48.180
Remember, it's on that hyperbolic trajectory, and it was going to just fly by Mars if it didn't slow down.

02:16:48.180 --> 02:17:03.360
So it gets ready to slow down to inter-orbit around Mars, but wait for it, they were only off by 169 kilometers, which means they re-entered, they entered the orbit of atmosphere of Mars and burned up, and there they went.

02:17:03.580 --> 02:17:07.960
So all, all, all because of a units problem.

02:17:07.960 --> 02:17:10.960
This is the infamous units problem you might have heard about.

02:17:10.960 --> 02:17:26.880
So what happened here is that there were, the way this mission was operated, is you had operators in Denver who were keeping track of the, of the bus, basically, and then you had the mission control, which was at Jet Propulsion Lab out in California, who was managing the mission.

02:17:26.960 --> 02:17:40.860
The guys managing the bus out in Denver were keeping track every time the satellite fired these little rockets, and they'd use these rockets for attitude control, but they also had slight impact on the, on the trajectory as well.

02:17:40.860 --> 02:17:49.820
And they were keeping track of all these rocket firings, and they put it into a file, and then they'd ship it out to JPL, where they would actually model the trajectory.

02:17:50.360 --> 02:18:03.560
Well, the guys in Denver were putting it in the file, modeling it as the thrust being in pounds, pounds force, which is an English unit, and then they shipped it out to JPL, where they assumed it was in Newtons.

02:18:03.860 --> 02:18:06.240
Well, what's the difference between a pound and a Newton?

02:18:06.240 --> 02:18:20.800
It's a factor of four, and I, the way I tell Americans to remember this is when they go to McDonald's in Paris, because every American who goes to Paris goes to McDonald's, that they should order a Newton burger instead of a quarter pounder, because that's how you remember that.

02:18:21.160 --> 02:18:24.420
Not a true thing, they don't really sell Newton burgers, but there you go.

02:18:24.680 --> 02:18:32.940
So they were off by a factor of four, which, you know, again, very, they weren't firing these rockets very much, so it was a relatively small correction.

02:18:33.320 --> 02:18:38.220
And to me, there's an interesting Murphy's Law thing going on here.

02:18:39.040 --> 02:18:44.700
You know, you think about it, they could have been off 160 kilometers in the other direction, right?

02:18:44.700 --> 02:18:46.900
I mean, left, right, up, down.

02:18:46.900 --> 02:18:48.420
It just happened to be down.

02:18:48.480 --> 02:18:52.160
You know, talk about flipping a coin and having to go the wrong way.

02:18:52.560 --> 02:18:54.040
It's simply the way it ended up.

02:18:54.040 --> 02:19:02.060
If they'd ended up 160 kilometers further away from Mars, they would have still entered orbit, and they would have said, oh, wow, look, and they would have been fine.

02:19:02.180 --> 02:19:11.500
But because they flipped the coin the wrong way, and they ended up closer to Mars, they burned up and all that because of, you know, the way they managed the software there.

02:19:12.220 --> 02:19:17.080
So they didn't, the software management development plan wasn't, was not fully followed.

02:19:17.140 --> 02:19:22.220
And they hadn't actually, interestingly enough, they never categorized this as critical software.

02:19:23.460 --> 02:19:26.380
Pete's asking how much margin of error do they allow for?

02:19:26.840 --> 02:19:35.520
You'd think they would allow for more than that 100, you know, you know, they made it, you know, 40 million kilometers and we're only off by 160.

02:19:35.680 --> 02:19:52.360
So you'd think they'd have a little bit more margin for error than that, you know, because, you know, once you're, you know, if you're trying to get into a 400 kilometer orbit around Mars, and you instead entered a 600 kilometer orbit, the cost to change that is relatively small.

02:19:52.560 --> 02:20:00.300
So I don't know if they were just trying to, you know, show off and see how closely they could get, but that did not work out for them.

02:20:00.300 --> 02:20:03.420
But you're spot on there on that question.

02:20:03.740 --> 02:20:07.500
Any questions about this particular debacle?

02:20:09.180 --> 02:20:13.800
There's other examples of software getting us in trouble in the space industry.

02:20:13.800 --> 02:20:23.240
There's the maiden flight of Ariane 5, where they reused software from Ariane 4, because, you know, heck, it was just a different rocket, why not?

02:20:23.240 --> 02:20:27.840
And that reused software caused a trajectory deviation, which caused the rocket to blow up.

02:20:27.840 --> 02:20:30.960
So these kind of things can get us in trouble.

02:20:31.020 --> 02:20:38.340
Mars Polar Lander, one line, basically one requirement was not allocated to software.

02:20:38.480 --> 02:20:43.700
And so you can't really blame software on that one, it was really more of a system engineering failure.

02:20:43.800 --> 02:20:52.100
But, you know, these sometimes, you know, seemingly simple things can cause total disaster on systems like this.

02:20:53.420 --> 02:20:57.220
And this is just, this is all us doing it to ourselves, right?

02:20:57.220 --> 02:21:06.540
You know, let alone some nefarious actor getting in there and helping us along, you know, so we do enough damage to ourselves without that.

02:21:06.540 --> 02:21:16.020
The lander, another lander was a European lander, Skier Pirelli, which I've never pronounced correctly, but he was the guy that discovered the canals on Mars.

02:21:16.020 --> 02:21:17.700
That crashed.

02:21:17.700 --> 02:21:28.600
Again, that was not, again, probably not a software error, but not completely well defined software in terms of how it handled the excursions on that inertial measurement unit.

02:21:28.600 --> 02:21:33.480
So, you know, there's always, you always kind of point to a root cause problem.

02:21:33.520 --> 02:21:38.020
But, you know, again, the space is hard enough without people doing bad things to us.

02:21:39.840 --> 02:21:41.040
All right.

02:21:41.040 --> 02:21:42.920
Any other questions on that?

02:21:43.620 --> 02:21:48.620
So, key design issues then to think about for data handling.

02:21:48.620 --> 02:21:56.600
You need to know what level of autonomy your spacecraft has to deal with, and the more autonomy, the more complexity.

02:21:57.360 --> 02:21:59.680
You have to understand all the tasks.

02:21:59.680 --> 02:22:03.380
What are you expecting your software to do, and where will it get done?

02:22:03.380 --> 02:22:04.680
We have some choices.

02:22:04.680 --> 02:22:05.920
We can do things on board.

02:22:05.920 --> 02:22:07.300
We can do them on the ground.

02:22:07.380 --> 02:22:08.420
We can do it in hardware.

02:22:08.420 --> 02:22:09.440
We can do it in software.

02:22:09.440 --> 02:22:10.340
We can do it in software.

02:22:10.340 --> 02:22:11.500
We can do it in firmware.

02:22:12.740 --> 02:22:15.500
You have to understand the environment that you're going to be dealing with.

02:22:15.500 --> 02:22:20.000
How bad will that ionizing radiation environment be?

02:22:20.440 --> 02:22:33.780
NASA has a mission at Jupiter right now called Juno, and they had to take all the avionics and they put it inside a titanium vault, and they used the best possible avionics that they could get and still did all the shielding.

02:22:33.780 --> 02:22:35.520
And so far, it's been holding up.

02:22:35.520 --> 02:22:39.740
They thought it would only last about an Earth year, but I think they're going on, what, three years?

02:22:39.800 --> 02:22:46.640
I haven't seen much report on what their single event upset issues are, but they seem to be still doing okay.

02:22:46.800 --> 02:22:53.300
But Jupiter has an even worse radiation environment than the Earth because it has a more intense magnetic field.

02:22:54.420 --> 02:23:03.680
NASA is talking about landing on one of the moons of Jupiter, Europa, where they have the ice fields, and under the ice, there's an ocean where the intelligent whales live.

02:23:04.040 --> 02:23:11.860
But they think when they land on that surface, on the ice there, they may be only good for a month or two because of the radiation environment there.

02:23:11.860 --> 02:23:19.140
So luckily, the intelligent whales are protected by all the ice, so they're good, but they probably mutate a lot.

02:23:20.040 --> 02:23:23.560
What was the thing from mutated sea bass?

02:23:23.560 --> 02:23:25.880
These are mutated whales.

02:23:26.480 --> 02:23:30.720
Anyway, so the other thing I need to think about are developer needs, right?

02:23:30.720 --> 02:23:32.680
So I've got to develop this code.

02:23:32.840 --> 02:23:34.020
How are we going to build it?

02:23:34.020 --> 02:23:34.720
What language?

02:23:34.720 --> 02:23:35.860
What development environment?

02:23:35.860 --> 02:23:36.880
What tools?

02:23:36.880 --> 02:23:38.460
How am I going to test it?

02:23:38.800 --> 02:23:46.360
And then we have all the operational abilities to consider, flexibility, maintainability, and we should also throw sustainability in there.

02:23:46.400 --> 02:23:52.940
One of the challenges we face in the space industry especially is that we use, you know, we tend to use stuff for decades.

02:23:53.180 --> 02:24:11.020
When the last space shuttle mission landed, the last HAL programmer lost their job because the shuttle was programmed using a language called HAL, circa, you know, state-of-the-art 1975, which by, you know, 2005 was no longer a thing.

02:24:11.220 --> 02:24:19.920
So, you know, when we're trying to maintain software for decades, that creates huge problems for us and, of course, threat surfaces as well.

02:24:20.780 --> 02:24:37.200
So these are the takeaways then for the data handling, understanding what it needs to do, how it has to correct for errors, the hardware-software interactions that we have to deal with, and all the software functions that have to be performed both on board and on the ground for a data handling system.

02:24:37.500 --> 02:24:54.180
So takeaways from a cyberspace lens here, that first of all, RF security is a relative small sub-niche of cybersecurity, because we tend to focus, as you might expect, more on, you know, fiber, because that's what most data is moving around.

02:24:54.180 --> 02:25:00.020
But RF is a unique, you know, we are uniquely dependent on RF in the space industry.

02:25:00.020 --> 02:25:08.960
Now, and getting access to that equipment is relatively easy, but as we mentioned, everybody tends to encrypt their stuff, so you have to know their encryption capability.

02:25:09.610 --> 02:25:18.240
But there are a lot of hardware-software vendors out there, there are multiple development environments, there are legacy languages, and all those create additional vulnerabilities.

02:25:18.560 --> 02:25:30.380
And then, of course, space relies heavily on software, and the more people get involved there, the more, you know, both grounded on board, the more additional vulnerabilities we end up making.

02:25:32.220 --> 02:25:39.780
Any questions on the vulnerability section, on the RF or data handling?

02:25:53.100 --> 02:25:56.000
How are they looking at future AI?

02:25:56.380 --> 02:25:58.460
Yeah, AI is an interesting discussion.

02:25:58.460 --> 02:26:07.620
I mean, space, I'd say, is fairly far behind on that in a lot of ways, because, again, we tend to be pretty conservative in how we approach that.

02:26:08.780 --> 02:26:23.440
There, you know, I've seen discussion of AI more for things like data mining on going through, you know, Kepler's data for looking for planets, you know, using it, you know, for post-processing, but not so much for, you know, real-time.

02:26:23.560 --> 02:26:35.580
I remember even back in the 80s, there was talk about, you know, expert systems supporting operators, but, you know, it's amazing that even 30 years later, that still has not really become a thing.

02:26:35.580 --> 02:26:42.140
So, you know, that's kind of that trade-off between autonomy versus automation that we get a lot.

02:26:42.140 --> 02:26:57.180
So I don't see a whole lot of talk, maybe something that maybe Terry might have a better insight there, but I haven't heard a lot of talk in the space business about more emphasis on AI for certainly for operations.

02:26:59.000 --> 02:27:08.220
Decision support, yeah, maybe for operators, but again, I haven't... I remember that being a quite a bit of talk many years ago, but I haven't heard much recently about that.

02:27:08.400 --> 02:27:10.920
Terry, do you have an update on AI applications?

02:27:11.400 --> 02:27:13.200
I don't, not in the space arena.

02:27:13.200 --> 02:27:16.300
I haven't really seen anything there either.

02:27:16.560 --> 02:27:22.040
Yeah, it's again, we tend to be pretty slow to the party for new technologies like that.

02:27:25.670 --> 02:27:27.510
We're going to find the slides, Meno.

02:27:27.590 --> 02:27:34.790
They are posted and maybe if Matt's on, he can tell you where they are in the Discord channel.

02:27:34.790 --> 02:27:37.070
Are they in the Discord channel, Matt, the slides?

02:27:39.710 --> 02:27:41.850
They are in the Discord channel.

02:27:41.910 --> 02:27:47.530
Yeah, Meno, they're there and if you can't find them, email me and I can always send them to you.

02:27:48.450 --> 02:27:51.650
Okay, let's pull up... I'm going to do two things here.

02:27:53.070 --> 02:27:55.590
I'm going to give you your cyber challenge.

02:27:55.590 --> 02:27:58.070
So here's your cyber challenge for the day.

02:27:58.790 --> 02:28:00.630
So I'm going to go through the challenge.

02:28:00.630 --> 02:28:02.890
Then I'm going to post the poll.

02:28:03.030 --> 02:28:06.570
Then you can take the poll while you're thinking about the challenge.

02:28:06.570 --> 02:28:09.450
And then we'll get back together and talk about it.

02:28:09.470 --> 02:28:12.430
So here's our scenario, right?

02:28:12.430 --> 02:28:21.710
So there's a company called Wiley Imaging and they've been operating a high resolution commercial remote sensing satellite now for about two years.

02:28:21.790 --> 02:28:24.750
And the US government is one of their biggest customers.

02:28:24.770 --> 02:28:29.030
It's in a sun-synchronous orbit at an altitude of 710 kilometers.

02:28:29.110 --> 02:28:33.290
And it has a node crossing of 1030 southbound every morning.

02:28:33.290 --> 02:28:39.330
When it crosses the equator going south, the local time is 1030 in the morning.

02:28:39.330 --> 02:28:41.190
That's what we call it, sun-synchronous.

02:28:41.190 --> 02:28:43.610
That means you get shadows.

02:28:43.610 --> 02:28:48.150
You get mid-morning shadows every time you fly over the equator like that.

02:28:48.770 --> 02:28:57.590
Wiley operates their own ground station here in Colorado, but they lease access to two other ground stations in Norway and Alaska.

02:28:58.110 --> 02:29:12.210
They're up at the high latitude and this is a sun-synchronous, which means it's nearly a polar orbit, which means that Norway and Alaska ground stations can see that satellite nearly every orbit, which is convenient.

02:29:12.490 --> 02:29:19.470
The satellite was built by Acme Aerospace in Iowa and there are two other satellites currently in development that plan to be launched next year.

02:29:19.470 --> 02:29:20.630
So that's the background.

02:29:21.130 --> 02:29:29.050
So the issue is, during the last two passes, we had a Passover in Norway and then we had a Passover in Colorado.

02:29:29.110 --> 02:29:36.130
The operators noticed bad headers on about 10 percent of the health and status telemetry data packets.

02:29:36.130 --> 02:29:39.270
They didn't see any problem with the payload data packets.

02:29:39.410 --> 02:29:43.790
And it's actually not unusual that you have separate downlinks.

02:29:43.790 --> 02:29:51.010
You have a downlink for health and status and you have a separate downlink, separate frequency for payload data.

02:29:51.010 --> 02:29:55.150
So the fact that those are different is not too amazing.

02:29:55.150 --> 02:29:56.590
That's actually kind of normal.

02:29:56.850 --> 02:30:03.570
But they only saw the problem with the health and status packets and it's on the header on the packets.

02:30:03.570 --> 02:30:14.830
But this is about a thousand times worse than they would have expected because we usually plan for like 10 to the minus 5, 10 to the minus 6, let's say one in a million bits to have a problem.

02:30:14.830 --> 02:30:19.750
And here you're seeing about a thousand times worse than that or maybe even worse than a thousand times worse.

02:30:19.750 --> 02:30:21.990
So it's a lot worse than they would have expected.

02:30:22.950 --> 02:30:24.790
So here are your challenge questions.

02:30:24.790 --> 02:30:31.990
So first of all, how would you determine if this issue were due to natural or man-made causes?

02:30:32.970 --> 02:30:37.310
What would your potential reasons be if it were natural causes?

02:30:37.970 --> 02:30:44.230
Assuming though that it's malicious cause, what opportunities would a bad actor have had?

02:30:44.970 --> 02:30:50.330
Assuming it's malicious cause, what vulnerabilities could a bad actor have exploited?

02:30:50.470 --> 02:31:00.050
And then given there are two other satellites in development, what other design or operational changes could we think about to prevent future issues?

02:31:00.050 --> 02:31:03.370
So those are the questions I want you to ponder.

02:31:03.630 --> 02:31:09.930
While you're pondering that, I'm going to put up the poll, last poll of the day here.

02:31:11.250 --> 02:31:14.250
So you can... I'll let you multitask here.

02:31:14.350 --> 02:31:18.470
So you can do the poll and then think about the cyber challenge.

02:31:18.470 --> 02:31:21.750
You can do the cyber challenge and then come back and think about the poll.

02:31:22.030 --> 02:31:27.730
But let's take about 10 minutes to go through that.

02:31:28.170 --> 02:31:32.610
And I'll give you 10 minutes to take the poll and think about the challenge.

02:31:32.650 --> 02:31:41.810
And then we'll get back together and we'll see if some brave soul online here wants to volunteer their answer to the challenge.

02:31:41.810 --> 02:31:50.110
So if you have a multi -deck slide presentation in the next 10 minutes, I'll let you share that with the team.

02:31:50.230 --> 02:31:56.530
So let's take about 10 minutes and think about the poll questions and the challenge scenario.

02:31:56.530 --> 02:32:04.750
And then we'll bring it back together, review the poll, and then we'll step through the how to think about this particular challenge problem.

02:32:04.790 --> 02:32:08.170
And then we'll wrap it up and we'll be able to call it a day here on time.

02:32:08.390 --> 02:32:14.130
So go do one or the other or both, and we'll check back here in about 10 minutes.

02:34:19.830 --> 02:34:26.570
If anybody has any questions about the challenge, just let me know and we can try to clarify things for you.

02:36:03.490 --> 02:36:08.990
We'll be looking for a brave volunteer who wants to tell us how to solve the challenge here.

02:37:43.310 --> 02:37:46.590
And I've also posted an end-of-course survey.

02:37:46.590 --> 02:37:54.570
We can't use polls for surveys because the data is not persistent in Zoom, so we're using a separate polling thing.

02:37:54.570 --> 02:37:58.670
But if you could follow the link to do that poll, we'd appreciate your feedback .

02:37:58.670 --> 02:38:02.550
That'd be great to help us figure out how to improve the course for next time.

02:38:03.250 --> 02:38:14.030
So I'll give you another five minutes or so to think about the polls, our poll questions here, and then we'll pull together and talk about the challenge and then wrap it up.

02:39:22.570 --> 02:39:30.430
All right, not much attendance on the polls here, but let's go ahead and close that out and then we'll talk about our challenge.

02:39:32.010 --> 02:39:37.070
So, which of the following changes would not increase EV over NO?

02:39:37.070 --> 02:39:37.990
So data rate.

02:39:37.990 --> 02:39:43.930
So making a higher data rate would be the wrong way to go if I'm trying to increase EV over NO.

02:39:44.550 --> 02:39:48.430
To jam a satellite, you need to have some noise at the receiver.

02:39:48.430 --> 02:39:49.690
That would do the trick.

02:39:50.510 --> 02:39:56.170
Threat service software has not been static over the years.

02:39:56.170 --> 02:39:57.930
It's been growing.

02:39:58.110 --> 02:40:12.670
To spoof a satellite , you need to know all of the above things, which is a lot of things you have to be aware of, which means you probably need some sort of way to get into the details of people's design requirements.

02:40:13.510 --> 02:40:16.770
And space software is both light and agile.

02:40:16.770 --> 02:40:21.950
Actually, no, we're kind of the opposite of light and agile in the space business.

02:40:22.610 --> 02:40:25.370
All right, well, let's talk about the challenge.

02:40:25.410 --> 02:40:30.530
Do I have any brave soul online who wants to tackle the questions?

02:40:33.850 --> 02:40:38.510
Anybody feel confident about talking through how you think about these challenge questions?

02:40:44.010 --> 02:40:46.110
Only one person at a time.

02:40:48.050 --> 02:40:53.990
That's the nice thing about virtual presentations, the ability to remain anonymous is much higher.

02:40:53.990 --> 02:40:57.230
When you're in a classroom, it's sort of kind of hard to hide.

02:40:57.290 --> 02:41:03.210
You know, I can stand, I can hover over you and intimidate you to tackle it.

02:41:04.210 --> 02:41:07.010
It's less intimidating if we talk through it together.

02:41:07.010 --> 02:41:07.930
There we go.

02:41:07.930 --> 02:41:09.030
Let's do that.

02:41:10.190 --> 02:41:15.630
So, let's kind of talk through the background first.

02:41:15.670 --> 02:41:19.090
So, remember the background information here.

02:41:19.230 --> 02:41:33.970
So, I just want to highlight some things that come out of the background, you know, and as we approach these, you know, as you go forward and start thinking and working in this environment, yeah, we think about, you know, what kind of information should I be keying in on?

02:41:33.970 --> 02:41:38.050
So, on the first bullet there, we want to key in on the fact that the U.S.

02:41:38.050 --> 02:41:40.190
government is one of their largest customers.

02:41:40.190 --> 02:41:44.390
So, certainly everybody in the world is sort of fair game, but the U.S.

02:41:44.390 --> 02:41:47.150
government is sort of a high profile target.

02:41:47.150 --> 02:41:48.690
So, if you're supporting U.S.

02:41:48.690 --> 02:41:51.190
government, you're kind of putting a target on your back.

02:41:51.370 --> 02:42:00.430
So, that raises the threat potential up quite a bit, just the fact that they got, you know, government's one of their big customers.

02:42:00.930 --> 02:42:05.730
The next bullet has to do with the orbital mechanics, which we covered here within the class.

02:42:06.590 --> 02:42:18.430
So, just the type of orbit I'm in will, in this particular orbit, will limit the number of times a day that somebody could have access to that satellite from a given site.

02:42:18.550 --> 02:42:24.550
So, that really restricts when somebody could have had access to that satellite, you know, line of sight.

02:42:24.550 --> 02:42:30.870
So, that is a constraint that kind of narrows the window there in which somebody could have had access.

02:42:31.450 --> 02:42:39.990
The other thing to clue in on there is that the Wiley is operating, they're leasing ground stations from in Norway and Alaska.

02:42:39.990 --> 02:42:41.250
So, these are lease stations.

02:42:41.250 --> 02:42:47.070
So, these are companies that are basically just selling time on their ground site.

02:42:47.070 --> 02:42:56.010
So, these people, you know, so, you know, anytime like I'm leasing something, I don't have a lot of control over the software, the procedures, the personnel.

02:42:56.230 --> 02:43:00.270
You know, these people are just doing a job passing data from one person to another.

02:43:00.310 --> 02:43:05.030
They're going to work, you know, get my data right now, and 10 minutes from now, they'll get data from somebody else.

02:43:05.030 --> 02:43:11.510
They don't have any particular loyalties to me, my company, my data, my program, or anything, right?

02:43:11.510 --> 02:43:13.450
They're just doing a job.

02:43:13.530 --> 02:43:18.630
And that means I don't have a lot of insight too, because I'm basically buying by the minute.

02:43:18.630 --> 02:43:28.670
I probably can't demand to see all their software, procedures, or security reviews, or, you know, polygraph interviews with people if they do that.

02:43:28.670 --> 02:43:30.710
I don't have any right to ask that stuff, right?

02:43:30.710 --> 02:43:32.410
I'm just buying by the yard.

02:43:33.170 --> 02:43:37.710
And then finally, we got two other satellites in development, which is maybe a good thing.

02:43:37.710 --> 02:43:45.790
We ought to think about, okay, well, if there is a hard problem that we've come up with, maybe there's a chance to resolve that.

02:43:45.990 --> 02:43:47.970
Pete's saying, can you put that in the contract?

02:43:47.970 --> 02:43:49.350
You can try.

02:43:49.750 --> 02:44:02.770
But, you know, if I'm Universal Space Network, I probably have 100 customers, and I got one small customer coming in demanding a bunch of stuff for security, I might just tell them to take a hike.

02:44:02.770 --> 02:44:10.590
Like, sorry, I don't have the time to give you that, or I'm going to charge you a lot for that.

02:44:10.590 --> 02:44:14.410
So it just depends on how big of a lever you have.

02:44:14.410 --> 02:44:20.370
And if you're one of N customers, you probably don't have that big of a lever on that.

02:44:21.410 --> 02:44:34.890
So the other thing then to think about from an issue standpoint, so as I said, you know, this issue only impacted the health and status, which is not necessarily unusual.

02:44:35.050 --> 02:44:38.830
So that should not... it's not overtly suspicious.

02:44:38.830 --> 02:44:44.870
So that shouldn't necessarily raise any alarm bells, but it's a useful thing to be aware of.

02:44:45.910 --> 02:44:50.350
And so it appears the problem is just in how the protocols are implemented.

02:44:50.350 --> 02:45:00.790
So this tends to be a software thing where, you know, you're going to be taking all these ones and zeros and organizing them into packets and adding headers and footers and things like that.

02:45:00.870 --> 02:45:05.190
But it appears to be random, but it only appears to be on the header.

02:45:05.190 --> 02:45:11.890
So, but again, depending on how that packet protocol works, that is not necessarily suspicious either.

02:45:11.930 --> 02:45:19.170
You know, so, but, you know, but these are all things that just file away in the back of your mind before we tackle the question.

02:45:19.170 --> 02:45:25.290
So we always want to, you know, make sure we understand the lay of the land before we dive into the details of the question.

02:45:25.350 --> 02:45:30.230
So first question is, well, how do we know that if it's natural or manmade?

02:45:30.230 --> 02:45:36.410
So I put up here what's called a fishbone diagram or root cause analysis or Ishikawa diagram.

02:45:36.530 --> 02:45:42.330
Some of you may have seen these before, but they're a very useful tool to try to get at root cause.

02:45:42.910 --> 02:45:44.950
And we do it with without prejudice.

02:45:44.950 --> 02:45:47.170
We just, it's a brainstorming tool.

02:45:47.430 --> 02:45:50.450
And you can think of it as a mind map if you're used to mind maps.

02:45:50.450 --> 02:46:01.810
But so we say we kind of list, and you've all seen detective movies, right, where the detectives have the big board and they have the suspects and they have, you know, yarn going between everybody in circles and all that.

02:46:01.810 --> 02:46:03.010
I mean, that's kind of what this is.

02:46:03.010 --> 02:46:05.490
This is our suspect board.

02:46:05.510 --> 02:46:08.950
And so we say, well, who are the usual suspects, right?

02:46:08.950 --> 02:46:14.950
And equipment, process, people, materials, environment management, those tend to be the usual suspects.

02:46:15.830 --> 02:46:22.230
And we would lay out within those, okay, from an equipment standpoint, what could cause this problem?

02:46:22.230 --> 02:46:25.610
What from a process standpoint, what could cause this problem?

02:46:25.610 --> 02:46:27.610
And we're not trying to solve the problem.

02:46:27.610 --> 02:46:31.410
We're trying to say, who are the suspects in this problem?

02:46:31.410 --> 02:46:33.810
And then we can start whittling away.

02:46:33.810 --> 02:46:40.650
Once we've defined the trade space of options, then we can start whittling away.

02:46:40.650 --> 02:46:43.250
We can go interview the suspects, see if they have an alibi.

02:46:43.250 --> 02:46:46.510
If they have an alibi, then okay, then they're not a suspect anymore.

02:46:46.510 --> 02:46:49.930
But we'd be thinking about equipment on board.

02:46:50.230 --> 02:46:53.230
Okay, well, what about that equipment, hardware, software?

02:46:53.310 --> 02:46:54.590
Are there any processes?

02:46:54.590 --> 02:47:02.850
Maybe somebody on the ground did something wrong in the configuration, and it's being garbled on the ground.

02:47:02.850 --> 02:47:07.190
Maybe it's coming, it's fine on the spacecraft, it's getting garbled somewhere on the ground.

02:47:07.330 --> 02:47:10.070
Maybe there's people, maybe people that had poor training.

02:47:10.070 --> 02:47:15.430
Maybe there's people that are maliciously, you know, scrambling this on their own.

02:47:15.430 --> 02:47:16.250
I don't know.

02:47:17.090 --> 02:47:21.210
Environment, of course, would be the big thing to look at, single event upsets.

02:47:21.210 --> 02:47:33.290
And what we might do there is call up the space weather people and find out if there was any sort of large coronal mass ejection somewhere in that time period.

02:47:33.290 --> 02:47:43.610
You know, we're trying to correlate, you know, what the time, because we can sort of narrow down when it happened, because it seemed to be fine one pass, and then it wasn't fine the next pass.

02:47:43.610 --> 02:47:46.390
So that narrows down the window there.

02:47:46.390 --> 02:47:58.470
If there was any sort of specific thing going on, maybe there was a solar event that could have happened in that time frame, or maybe it was going through this area of the Van Allen belts, we call the South Atlantic Anomaly.

02:47:58.550 --> 02:48:04.490
You know, any of those things could, you know, raise our suspicion level.

02:48:06.030 --> 02:48:08.930
You're saying wouldn't that affect everything, not just the heterogeneity?

02:48:08.930 --> 02:48:10.230
Well, it's random, right?

02:48:10.230 --> 02:48:16.630
So all I need is one silver bullet to go into my software, and I don't know what it's going to do.

02:48:16.630 --> 02:48:26.610
You know, and if it just happened to affect the one place where that gets encoded on the headers, then, you know, I can't immediately rule that out.

02:48:26.970 --> 02:48:34.370
I mean, yeah, it's high, you know, low probability, but I don't, I wouldn't immediately rule that out, right?

02:48:34.810 --> 02:48:37.710
So I want to take a look at it, and I want to do this systematically.

02:48:37.710 --> 02:48:46.330
What we're trying to do is have an, you know, an unbiased, you know, let's not jump to conclusion and, you know, start launching nuclear weapons at bad guys because they attacked our satellite.

02:48:46.590 --> 02:48:51.570
We want to, you know, let's find a smoking gun, but let's do it methodically.

02:48:51.710 --> 02:48:56.490
So this is how I would go about trying to, to come to that root cause.

02:48:56.490 --> 02:49:02.530
And we may decide, no, there, you know, there's the probability of this being natural is just too low.

02:49:02.530 --> 02:49:07.590
It has to, and, you know, the, the impact is too, too systematic.

02:49:07.690 --> 02:49:09.690
It's not random enough.

02:49:09.910 --> 02:49:17.130
And therefore we might, you know, start to suspect, you know, people, which is, you know, malicious actors in that case.

02:49:17.770 --> 02:49:28.030
If it were environment, which is question two, again, we've been, as we've been talking, it's most likely a single event upset that could cause that, but, but not necessarily.

02:49:28.030 --> 02:49:33.910
It could be a, maybe thermal stress led to a problem with a processor or something like that.

02:49:33.910 --> 02:49:41.890
So, you know, there are other potential environmental causes as well, but single event upsets tends to be one that causes these sort of random events.

02:49:42.570 --> 02:49:46.730
But assuming it is malicious going to question three, where are the opportunities?

02:49:46.730 --> 02:49:51.430
Well, I mean, if it happened between passes, that's a pretty narrow opportunity.

02:49:51.430 --> 02:49:57.410
I say, I mean, maybe an hour, they could have had opportunity to do some sense, something directly in there.

02:49:57.450 --> 02:50:06.990
And again, that's not out of the question, but that would mean they would have had to actually command our satellite directly, which means they would have had to know all those things we talked about.

02:50:06.990 --> 02:50:12.550
They'd have to have the frequency, they'd have to have the encryption, they'd have to have the command codes.

02:50:13.010 --> 02:50:16.130
They'd really have to know our system very well.

02:50:17.130 --> 02:50:20.730
Not out of the question, but again, fairly low likelihood.

02:50:21.770 --> 02:50:27.150
So it would seem it's probably more likely that that came in somewhere sooner.

02:50:27.150 --> 02:50:39.610
And maybe it came in as a Trojan horse to be, you know, with a, with a time tag that says after, you know, you know, 30 hours from now or 30 weeks from now, implement this.

02:50:39.710 --> 02:50:42.470
And so, and so who knows when it was injected?

02:50:42.470 --> 02:50:47.170
It could have been all the way back to the factory, right?

02:50:47.170 --> 02:50:49.190
So we don't know at this point.

02:50:49.270 --> 02:50:52.690
But those are, so that's, that's the malicious thing.

02:50:52.690 --> 02:51:02.550
That's the scary thing about code is that, you know, you can put code in that can be sitting there, you know, kind of a sleeper agent to get, get activated who knows when.

02:51:03.510 --> 02:51:05.490
So what are the vulnerabilities then?

02:51:05.490 --> 02:51:12.130
Just, you know, again, if I'm talking about hundreds, you know, a satellite like this probably has hundreds of thousands of lines of code.

02:51:12.810 --> 02:51:17.090
Yeah, you could be hiding in there somewhere and maybe get overlooked.

02:51:17.090 --> 02:51:18.990
You can get overlooked during testing.

02:51:19.310 --> 02:51:25.310
In the fact that we've got these, we're using the ground stations that to me, that's a, that's a red flag.

02:51:25.310 --> 02:51:34.630
And it's just, you've got things outside your span of control, direct span of control that can be entry points for bad actors there.

02:51:35.510 --> 02:51:40.370
And then finally, we, because we have these guys still in the barn being, being developed.

02:51:40.370 --> 02:51:48.410
If it turns out the problem is a natural environment problem that our, our hardware maybe is not robust enough against single event upsets.

02:51:48.410 --> 02:51:51.370
I mean, we could consider swapping out processors.

02:51:51.370 --> 02:51:55.710
I mean, that's a pretty major design change, especially fairly late in the game.

02:51:55.850 --> 02:52:04.110
But if it turns out we're particularly vulnerable, or maybe there's some thermal issue that caused it.

02:52:04.310 --> 02:52:11.930
We may have to take a serious look at our design to see if we can mitigate that in, but through a design change.

02:52:11.970 --> 02:52:15.990
If it's code, we may have to do a full scrub.

02:52:15.990 --> 02:52:21.930
We may have to go back through and look at all the software grounded on board to see if there's anything hiding in there.

02:52:21.950 --> 02:52:24.610
And maybe we need to go take a look at our personnel.

02:52:24.610 --> 02:52:31.090
Maybe go to do a, you know, security check on our people and see if there's any, anything suspicious going on there.

02:52:31.090 --> 02:52:38.130
And somebody, you know, driving to work in a Ferrari and last week they had a, you know, junker car.

02:52:38.410 --> 02:52:41.010
And you know, where'd they get all the money all of a sudden kind of thing.

02:52:41.410 --> 02:52:43.050
You know, that might look suspicious.

02:52:43.050 --> 02:52:45.430
So, so those are things we could look at.

02:52:45.890 --> 02:52:50.270
Pete's asking if it was a code update, how would they consider do that for ones on orbit?

02:52:50.370 --> 02:52:56.430
Well, we can, we actually can change code on orbit pretty well.

02:52:56.430 --> 02:53:13.630
I mean, again, depending on the extent, you probably, you couldn't change your entire architecture maybe so much, but, but if it turns out that was, you know, this was lurking in one unit or module of code, we could, that would be a, you know, not, I would say easy thing to do,

02:53:13.630 --> 02:53:19.510
but it's a doable thing to re overwrite that code or patch around it or something like that.

02:53:19.510 --> 02:53:19.610
Yeah.

02:53:19.610 --> 02:53:22.970
We, we make code changes fairly often.

02:53:22.970 --> 02:53:27.970
I mean, you know, almost, you know, I would say routinely are making code changes on spacecraft.

02:53:27.970 --> 02:53:32.570
So that, that would not be a difficult thing to do depending on the extent.

02:53:32.570 --> 02:53:42.290
Now, again, if it's, you know, if it's corrupted badly, that might take a lot of surgery to fix, but, and we may not have a choice there if this is a problem.

02:53:44.210 --> 02:53:46.290
Anybody see, did I miss anything there?

02:53:46.290 --> 02:53:53.310
Any, any other issues or ideas that maybe we might want to think about as we tackle this, this challenge?

02:54:09.120 --> 02:54:10.000
All right.

02:54:10.000 --> 02:54:13.100
Well, we did pretty well then today.

02:54:13.100 --> 02:54:16.760
So let's recap what we did today.

02:54:16.760 --> 02:54:21.460
So we, we went through, we started with context.

02:54:21.460 --> 02:54:25.840
So we looked at that mission architecture and the reasons we went to space.

02:54:25.880 --> 02:54:28.040
We talked about opportunities.

02:54:28.040 --> 02:54:37.300
So we looked at orbits and operations, got you all up to speed on how to do a, you know, to become orbital mechanics.

02:54:37.300 --> 02:54:41.100
So you're getting ready to get out your wrench and fix an orbit next time.

02:54:42.220 --> 02:54:48.260
We looked at threats, natural and human threats, especially those natural threats and how insidious they can be.

02:54:48.260 --> 02:54:54.980
And, you know, just the, the denials of service we get on a day-to-day basis, just because space is a hard place to be.

02:54:55.100 --> 02:54:57.780
And then we finished up looking at those vulnerabilities.

02:54:57.780 --> 02:55:06.360
So the RF, RF links, spent some time looking at how we make sure that we get viable connections through the RF links.

02:55:06.360 --> 02:55:15.900
And then talked about the data architecture and overall data systems ground and on board that also become potential threat surfaces for us.

02:55:15.900 --> 02:55:17.680
So that was what we tried to cover.

02:55:17.940 --> 02:55:19.640
These were our objectives.

02:55:19.640 --> 02:55:25.200
So again, we're trying to climb that learning trajectory there from, from the pad all the way into orbit.

02:55:25.200 --> 02:55:27.600
Wanted you to have some core space knowledge.

02:55:27.600 --> 02:55:36.080
So you feel a little more confident talking to people about space issues and some of the limitations and capabilities and threats and vulnerabilities that are out there.

02:55:36.080 --> 02:55:41.260
Wanted you understand some of the trade-offs, especially as they apply to cybersecurity domain.

02:55:41.400 --> 02:55:48.260
Things like the access that you get from orbital mechanics and the, all the different things that happen in operations.

02:55:48.260 --> 02:55:57.800
There's nine different things that we laid out of, of activities and operations and, and any one of those can be a potential entree for a threat.

02:55:58.280 --> 02:56:04.940
The natural environment, I hope you had a, an appreciation for how hard that environment is just, you know, on a good day.

02:56:05.220 --> 02:56:13.940
And now when we throw bad actors in there, what, what, you know, relatively small changes can have big impact on overall mission operations.

02:56:14.400 --> 02:56:29.080
And then finally wanted you to be able to step back from some real world scenarios and apply the knowledge that we gained here in the class and be able to look at those critically to understand what kind of issues might come up and how would we think through these issues?

02:56:29.080 --> 02:56:33.500
And we're going to see these issues, I think, come up more and more over time.

02:56:33.500 --> 02:56:42.500
And we have to be able to, you know, differentiate the natural, naturally occurring problems from the unnaturally occurring ones, and then figure out what to do about it.

02:56:42.500 --> 02:56:48.040
I mean, we've got a, there's a lot of potential holes to plug here in terms of vulnerabilities.

02:56:48.060 --> 02:57:00.060
And we may be, you know, running around playing holes or all our life, but we have to be able to ready to identify those holes and think about what kinds of things we can do to address them going forward.

02:57:00.740 --> 02:57:03.340
So we thank you for your time and attention.

02:57:03.340 --> 02:57:04.160
Thanks, Terry.

02:57:04.160 --> 02:57:06.580
Thanks, Jason, for this.

02:57:06.580 --> 02:57:11.760
And we'll, I'll probably stop recording at this point.

02:57:12.260 --> 02:57:16.420
And I'll just kind of throw it open to any other questions.

02:57:16.560 --> 02:57:22.660
I'll hang around as long as anybody needs if they have questions, and we will go.

