2003 scoring
From the predictions list:
Most predictions were approximately right. Threat-side under-confident (worm activity was higher than predicted); defensive-side accurate.
2004 predictions
1. Major worm of comparable scale to Blaster/Sobig. 80%.
2. Mass-mailers continue. 95%.
3. SQL-injection-targeted worm. 55%.
4. Mobile-device-targeted attack. 45%.
5. Major data-breach incident. 70%.
6. Linux 2.6 ships. 85%.
7. Phishing reaches major bank embarrassment. 70%.
8. Continued Microsoft Trustworthy Computing progress. 85%.
9. Wireless attacks become standard threat-model assumption. 80%.
10. Notebook continues weekly. 95%.
More in the end-of-year post.